At 7:10 PM ET, the Nationals and Mets face off in an NL East matchup. This one is taking place at Citi Field in New York, and the Mets are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -192. The Nationals are +162 and will be looking to end a three-game losing streak. Washington is 4th in the NL East, while the Mets are 3rd.

The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the forecast for Wednesday's game calls for cloudy skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Luis Severino will be starting for the Mets, while the Nationals are sending Patrick Corbin to the mound. This one will be televised on MASN.


The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, July 10th.


  • We have the Mets winning by a score of 6 to 5
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 7-5 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Nationals, they scored three of their five runs in the 9th inning.

Jose Quintana pitched well for the Mets in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Edwin Díaz closed things out. Jake Irvin had a rough outing for the Nationals, taking the loss.

At the plate, Francisco Lindor, Brandon Nimmo, and Harrison Bader each had three hits for the Mets. Lindor and Nimmo both homered in the game. Keibert Ruiz hit the game's only other home run for the Nationals.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 4th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 17.5 games. Overall, the Nationals are 42-50 and have dropped three straight games. Their losing streak includes dropping the series opener vs. the Mets. This year, they are 16-13 against other teams in the NL East.

At home, the Nationals are 20-24 and 22-26 on the road. As the underdog, Washington is 33-42 this season and 9-8 as the favorite. So far, they have an overall series record of 11-16-2.

Washington is 28-20 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two road games. They are 44-31 against the run line as the underdog this season.

The Washington Nationals are on the road against the New York Mets today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly higher than their combined run average of 8.7 runs per game this season. The Nationals have played to a 44-44 O/U record this season, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 5-7-2. The over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 17.4% of their games this season.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Mets on the road. This year, he has made 18 starts and has a record of 1-8 with a 5.49 ERA. Corbin's WHIP for the season is currently 1.53. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 6.12 strikeouts per nine innings. Corbin's last outing came on July 5th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Washington's offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 19th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. They are also 11th in batting average and are one of the league's best teams at not striking out. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have just the 22nd slugging percentage in the MLB.

CJ Abrams has been the Nationals' top power threat this season, as his 14 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. He is also batting a solid .276. Luis Garcia Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/23 in his last six games with three homers.

Mets Records & Stats

The Mets are at an even .500 at 45-45 as they host the Nationals today. New York is 13.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East, and they trail the Braves by 6 games for the second spot in the division. So far, they are 14-12 in divisional matchups this year.

At home, the Mets are 22-25 this year and have gone 23-20 on the road. New York has won three straight games as the favorite, and they are 26-23 overall as the favorite. As for their underdog record, the Mets are 19-22 this year. So far, their series record is 13-13-5, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When betting the run line on the Mets, it's best to take them on the road, where they are 24-19 against the run line compared to 18-29 at home. As the underdog, they are 24-17 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are just 18-31. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.4, while in losses, it's -3.4.

The Mets have been a good over team this season, with a combined run average of 9.6 runs per game. Their over/under record is 48-39, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 9 runs, they have a record of 4-4-3. The over has hit in two straight games for New York.

Luis Severino will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Pirates, as he gets the start for the Mets today. In that July 5th start, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back further, Severino has made 17 starts, and his record for the season is 5-3 with a 3.83 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .227 vs. Severino this year, and he has a total of 12 homers allowed. One positive note is that he has seven quality starts this year. Per nine innings, Severino has 6.71 strikeouts and 2.96 walks.

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is good for 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in home runs and have the league's 5th best isolated power figure. As a team, the Mets are batting .248, which is 7th best in the MLB.

Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear of late, going 7/20 in his last five games with two homers. This has helped him move into the team's top spot in batting average (.252) and his 15 homers is 3rd on the team and 12th in the league. Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor are also near the top of the league in homers, with 18 and 16, respectively.