Washington Nationals vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24

At 8:10 PM ET, the Nationals and Brewers face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at American Family Field in Milwaukee, and the Nationals are looking to snap a five-game losing streak. They are 42-52 overall, while the Brewers lead the NL Central with a record of 54-40.

Milwaukee is the heavy favorite on the money line, with the odds sitting at -223, while the Nationals are at +187. Friday’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and BSWI is carrying this game on TV. Jackson Rutledge goes for the Nationals, and he is facing off against Freddy Peralta.

WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +187

This game will be played at American Family Field at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 12th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Nationals Records & Stats

Led by a big game by Lane Thomas at the plate, the Nationals are coming off a 7-0 win over the Mets to close out their series. Thomas went 2/2 with two RBIs and a run scored. The Nationals really broke things open with a five-run 5th inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Nationals were the slight underdog at +125.

MacKenzie Gore got the start for the Nationals and took the loss. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up four earned runs. Washington’s bullpen was able to close things out, and the Nationals scored an json run in the 8th to pick up the 7-0 win.

Washington is 42-52 overall, putting them 4th in the NL East, 19.5 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Nationals lost all three games of their most recent series vs. the Mets and are on a five-game losing streak. So far, they are 16-15 in divisional games.

At home, the Nationals are 20-24 this year compared to a 22-28 mark on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-44 this season, and they are 9-8 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 11-17-2, and they have dropped two straight series.

The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 52-42 overall. They have been a better play on the road, where they are 28-22 on the run line compared to 24-20 at home. However, they have failed to cover the run line in four straight road games. They are 44-33 on the run line as an underdog, but just 8-9 when favored.

The Washington Nationals will be on the road today against the Milwaukee Brewers. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for Nationals games this season is 8.6 runs per game. Their O/U record for the season is 44-46, and the average O/U line for their games is 9 runs. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-6-1. The Nationals have played 60 games this season with O/U lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 63.8% of their games. They have played 22 games with O/U lines set lower than 8 runs, which accounts for 23.4% of their games. The under has hit in the last 2 games.

Getting the start on the road against the Brewers is Jackson Rutledge. He made his first appearance of the season out of the bullpen, going just one inning and giving up one earned run on a solo homer. He struck out two and walked none.

Washington comes into the game with the league’s 19th ranked offense in terms of home runs and are averaging only 4.1 runs per game, which is also 20th in the MLB. As a team, they are batting just .237 and have an OPS of .674, which is 22nd in the league. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Luis Garcia Jr., who has gone 14/31 with three homers over his last eight games.

CJ Abrams is leading the Nationals with 46 RBIs and also has a team-high 14 homers. He is batting .271 for the season. Luis Garcia Jr. and Jesse Winker are also near the top of the team in home runs, with 10 apiece. Garcia Jr. is batting .277 for the season, while Winker comes into the game with a batting average of .260.

Brewers Records & Stats

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 1-0 loss. This was especially tough, as they were the slight favorite at +102 on the money line. Milwaukee’s offense wasted a good start from Aaron Civale, who took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run on six hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the loss.

Milwaukee’s offense also had only two hits but didn’t score a run. Both of their hits were singles, and they didn’t have a runner reach second base until the 7th inning. The Brewers also wasted a good performance from their bullpen, as the Pirates scored the game’s only run in the top of the 7th.

Milwaukee is hosting the Nationals today with an overall record of 54-40, which has them leading the NL Central. They currently hold a 5.0 game lead over the Cardinals. The Brewers head into today’s game with an NL Central division record of 21-12.

The Brewers lost two of three in their series vs. the Pirates. Currently, they are 4-6 across their last 10 games. At home, the Brewers are 28-15 this season compared to a 26-25 mark on the road. As the home favorite, Milwaukee is 22-9 this season, and they are 32-19 overall as the favorite. So far, they have gone 22-21 as the underdog.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Brewers, it’s been a mixed bag. They’re 49-45 overall, but just 22-21 at home. They’ve been a better bet on the road, going 27-24. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 28-15, compared to 21-30 as a favorite. Their average run margin is +0.8 runs per game, but in their wins, it’s +3.5 runs per game.

The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Washington Nationals today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Brewers’ games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 50-40. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-6-1. Overall, 60.6% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he gave up three earned runs in four innings of work. In that start vs. the Dodgers, he gave up a homer. Peralta finished with a no-decision in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Peralta’s ERA for the season is 3.95, along with a record of 6-4. Opposing batters are hitting .204 off the right-hander this season. Peralta’s WHIP for the season is 1.15.

Christian Yelich has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 9/27 with three homers over his last eight games. For the season, he is batting .329, which is 2nd on the team, and his 11 homers is also the 2nd best mark for Milwaukee. Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins are tied for the team lead with 14 homers, but Adames is batting just .237 this season, and Hoskins is hitting just .218.

As a team, the Brewers are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5 runs per game. Milwaukee is also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.