Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24
From Busch Stadium in St. Louis, we have the Cubs and Cardinals facing off in an NL Central matchup. The Cubs are 45-49 and they will be looking to extend their four-game winning streak. However, they are the underdog on the money line today at +163. The Cardinals are 48-44 and their losing streak of two games. On the money line, they are favored at -196, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
APLTV will be televising tonight’s Cubs and Cardinals matchup, with the game getting started at 8:15 PM ET. Sonny Gray will be starting for the Reds, while the Cubs are going with Kyle Hendricks. Gray is 2-5 this season, while Hendricks is 7-7.
CHICAGO CUBS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Busch Stadium at 8:15 ET on Friday, July 12th.
HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS CARDINALS:
- We have the Cardinals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cubs Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Orioles, the Cubs closed out the series with an 8-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at +115 on the money line. It was a big third inning that turned things in their favor, and the Orioles could only score three runs, all of which came in the 5th.
Justin Steele put together a good start for the Cubs, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out four. Dansby Swanson was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Chicago is on the road today vs. the Cardinals, and they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500, as they are currently 45-49 overall. The Cubs have won four straight games, and they are nine games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, tied with the Reds for 4th/5th in the division.
At home, the Cubs have gone 25-21 this season, and they are 20-28 on the road. As the underdog, the Cubs have an overall record of 23-27, and they are an even 22-22 when favored. The Cubs have won three straight games as the road underdog, and their overall series record is 11-16-2 this year.
Chicago is 28-20 against the run line on the road this season, and they’ve covered in three straight games. They are 33-17 against the run line as an underdog, but just 13-31 when favored. The Cubs’ average run differential in their wins is +3.3, while in their losses, it’s -3.2.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the St. Louis Cardinals. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is slightly lower than the Cubs’ season average of 8.5 runs per game. Chicago has played to the under in 50% of their games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 3-11-1. The Cubs have hit the under in their last two games.
Kyle Hendricks is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, where he took the loss and gave up two earned runs in just 2 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up a home run. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts. Hendricks’ ERA for the season is 7.53, and he has a record of 1-7. The right-hander has made 11 starts, and opponents are batting .302 off Hendricks this season. Per nine innings, he has 6.68 strikeouts and 2.84 walks.
Chicago’s offense comes into today’s game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is also right around their season average for runs scored at home and on the road. As a team, the Cubs are batting .232, and their collective slugging percentage of .375 is also below the league average. The Cubs do have a good team on-base percentage and are 4th in the league in walks.
Chris Morel has been one of the Cubs’ biggest power threats this season, as he is 12th in the league with 16 home runs. However, he is batting just .198. Ian Happ has also been a big run producer for the Cubs, as his 56 RBIs are 13th in the league, and he is 2nd on the team with 14 homers. Michael Busch has been on a tear of late, going 10/22 in his last five games with two homers.
Cardinals Records & Stats
Led by a big game by Lars Nootbaar at the plate, the Cardinals are coming off a game in which they scored five runs on 10 hits. However, they still took the loss, as the Royals scored eight runs. St. Louis was the -120 favorite at home going into the game.
Gordon Graceffo got the start for the Cardinals and took the loss. He only lasted 3 1/3 innings, giving up three earned runs. Offensively, the Cardinals scored their five runs on a homer by Nootbaar in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 4th.
St. Louis is five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central as they are 48-44 overall. The Cardinals will host the Cubs today with an overall division record of 13-12. The team is also looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they dropped the final two games of their series vs. the Royals.
At home, the Cardinals are 24-20 this season and have gone 24-24 on the road. As the favorite, St. Louis is 25-21 this season and 23-23 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 15-12-2, and they have won two straight series on the road.
St. Louis has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they are 46-46 overall. They have been slightly better at home, going 24-20, but they have lost two straight at home against the run line. The Cardinals have been the underdog more often than not, going 29-17 against the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +2.5, while it’s -3.5 in losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are home today against the Chicago Cubs with an over/under line of 8 runs. The combined run average in Cardinals games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 43-46. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 7-9-1. So far this season, 55.4% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs.
Sonny Gray will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he finished with a no-decision in the game. In that start, he gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back further, Gray has given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Gray’s ERA for the season is 3.30, along with a record of 9-5. Opponents are batting .201 off Gray this season. Out of his 16 starts, Gray has seven quality starts and is averaging 11.17 strikeouts per nine innings.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. They have been a bit better in terms of home runs, but their team slugging percentage of .383 is just 15th in the league. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league.
Alec Burleson has been the Cardinals’ top power threat this season, as his 15 homers are 2nd in the league and the most on the team. He is also batting .282 for the season and has gone 13/41 in his last 10 games. Brendan Donovan and Nolan Gorman are also near the top of the league in home runs, but Gorman is batting just .209 for the season.