Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros Betting Pick & Prediction 7/12/24

From Minute Maid Park in Houston, we have an AL West matchup between the Rangers and Astros. The Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -158, while the Rangers are at +134. The over/under line is currently 7.5 runs.

First pitch for this one is set for 8:10 PM ET, and the Astros will be looking to extend their three-game win streak. Hunter Brown is starting for the Astros, while the Rangers are going with Andrew Heaney. Texas is 3rd in the AL West, and the Astros are 2nd overall.

HOUSTON ASTROS VS TEXAS RANGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Astros Moneyline -158

This game will be played at Minute Maid Park at 8:10 ET on Friday, July 12th.

HOW TO BET THE RANGERS VS ASTROS:

• We have the Astros winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rangers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Rangers Records & Stats

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Rangers closed out the series with a 7-2 loss. Texas was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Angels scored four times in the second.

Offensively, the Rangers only had two fewer hits than the Angels but scored just two runs. Both of their runs came in the 5th inning. Leody Taveras hit a solo homer, and Jonah Heim had an RBI single. The Rangers also wasted a big game from Leody Taveras, who went 1/4 with a homer.

Texas is on the road today to take on the Astros, and they are seven games below .500 at 44-49. In the AL West, they are seven games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they are 11-15 in divisional games this year.

The Rangers have won two straight series, taking two of three from the Angels in their most recent series. At home, the Rangers are 24-21 this year compared to 20-28 on the road. As the underdog, Texas has won three straight, and they are 17-26 as the underdog overall. Their series record is 13-15-1 this year.

When betting on the run line in Texas Rangers games this season, the underdog has been the way to go. The Rangers are 24-19 against the run line as the underdog, compared to 19-31 as the favorite. They have covered the run line in five straight games as the underdog, and their average run differential in winning games is +4.2.

When the Texas Rangers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-52. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their over/under record is 5-6. Overall, 83.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, with only 4 games having lower lines.

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Astros on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 3-9 with a 3.80 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.24 and opponents are batting .244 this year. In his last outing, Heaney finished with a no-decision, going 5 1/3 innings and not giving up a run against the Rays. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight outings. Per nine innings, Heaney has 9.2 strikeouts and just 2.4 walks.

Corey Seager and Adolis Garcia are tied for the team lead in homers, with both players having gone deep 17 times this season. Seager is batting .269 for the season and has gone 11/32 (.344) over his last eight games. Garcia is hitting just .215 for the season and has also been struggling of late, going just 6/28 in his last 10 games. Marcus Semien comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and is batting .235 for the season.

Over their last 10 games, Nathaniel Lowe and Wyatt Langford have both been swinging the bat well, with Lowe hitting .316 and Langford batting .368. Lowe has two homers and nine RBIs during this stretch, while Langford has also driven in nine runs.

Astros Records & Stats

The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 6-3 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the top of the first, the Astros responded with two runs of their own. Houston went on to add another four runs in the 2nd inning.

Starting for the Astros was Jake Bloss, who picked up the win. He went four innings, giving up just two runs on four hits. Tayler Scott got the final three outs for the Astros to pick up the save.

The Astros are at home today, hosting the Rangers in an AL West matchup. Houston is 49-44 overall, putting them 2nd in the AL West, two games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Astros closed out their series vs. the Marlins with three straight wins.

At home, the Astros are 27-19 this season, and they are just above .500 at 22-25 on the road. As the favorite, the Astros are 37-32 this season and 12-12 as the underdog. Houston’s overall series record is 16-12-1 this year.

When the Astros are favored, they are 33-36 vs. the run line this season. Their average run margin in winning games is 4.0, while it is -3.3 in losing games. They have won two straight vs. the run line and have covered the run line in 24 of 46 games at home this season.

When the Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers today, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the combined run average in Astros games is 9.1 runs per game. Overall, the over/under record for Houston is 37-52, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs per game. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 6-8. This season, 76 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 81.7% of their games. The over has hit in their last two games.

Hunter Brown will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Twins, as he gave up seven earned runs in six innings of work. In that July 6th outing, he gave up six hits and issued one walk. Before that start, Brown had won three straight outings and didn’t give up more than one earned run in any of those starts. His ERA for the season is 4.48, along with a record of 6-6. The right-hander has a WHIP of 1.39 and has issued 3.51 walks per nine innings compared to 9.75 strikeouts.

For the season, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, batting .263 as a team. They also have the league’s best team slugging percentage and have the fewest strikeouts in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been a great 1-2 punch for the Astros this season, with Alvarez leading the team with 51 RBIs and Tucker right behind him at 40. Both players also have 19 homers, which is 9th best in the league. Over his last eight games, Alex Bregman is hitting .323 with two homers and nine RBIs.