Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 8/25/24
There is one MLB game on the schedule for Sunday, and it features the Nationals and Braves. This NL East matchup is set to get started at 12:05 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta. The Braves are 70-59 overall and they are on a three-game winning streak, while the Nationals are 58-72 and they have lost two straight. Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Nationals, and he will be facing off against DJ Herz for the Braves.
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Atlanta on Sunday, with the forecasted temperature being 70 degrees. The over/under line for this game is currently at 8 runs, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -189. The Nationals are +159 on the money line.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 8 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 12:05 ET on Sunday, August 25th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
The most recent game o of this Braves vs Nationals series came right down to the end, as the Nationals rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -174 on the money line.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going just 5 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out six. Aaron Bummer got the win out of the bullpen, and Pierce Johnson got the save. Jake Irvin only went 5 1/3 innings for the Nationals, giving up two earned runs on five hits.
Ramón Laureano and Orlando Arcia each homered for the Braves, while Whit Merrifield scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/2. Gio Urshela also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Nationals Records & Stats
Washington is 4th in the NL East, and they trail the Phillies by 17.5 games for the division lead. Overall, the Nationals are 58-72 as they play game three of their series vs. the Braves. The Nationals have lost two straight games, and they are 3-7 across their last ten.
At home, the Nationals are 30-33 this season, and they are 28-39 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 46-61 this year, and they are 12-11 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 16-21-3, and they are losing this series vs. the Braves 0-2.
Washington has been a strong run-line bet this season, going 73-57 overall. They are 34-29 at home and 39-28 on the road. They are 11-12 vs. the run line as favorites and 62-45 as underdogs. Their average run margin in games they’ve won is +3.4, while it’s -3.6 in games they’ve lost.
The Nationals have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game. Their over/under record is 64-61, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone 8-8-1. Overall, 67.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs, and their games have averaged a line of 9 runs per game. They have hit the under in their last two games.
Washington is sending DJ Herz to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he comes in with a record of 2-6 and an ERA of 4.15. Herz has made 13 starts this year and has only turned in two quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Herz took the loss vs. the Rockies, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Opponents are batting .239 this year vs. Herz, and his WHIP is currently 1.32. Per nine innings, he is averaging 11.13 strikeouts and 3.12 walks.
Washington’s offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, the Nationals are batting .245, which is 11th best in the league, and are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. So far, they have been below average in terms of home runs and isolated power.
Luis Garcia Jr. is leading the Nationals in RBIs this season and is also 2nd on the team with 15 homers. CJ Abrams has 18 homers this season, but is just 11th on the team in batting average. Over his last six games, Jose Tena is hitting .391 with a home run and three RBIs. Alex Call has also homered twice in his last six games while batting .250.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 70-59, the Braves are five games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Nationals. In the NL East, they lead the Mets by 7.5 games.
Atlanta has an overall division record of 22-17 this season. The Braves have been good at home, going 36-27, and they are just above .500 on the road at 34-32. As the favorite, the Braves are 60-46 this season and 10-13 as the underdog. Atlanta has won three straight at home, and their overall series record is 22-14-5. They have won three straight series overall and have won two straight series on the road.
The Braves have a run line record of 59-70 this season, including a 26-37 mark at home. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.0 runs per game at home. As the favorite, they are just 46-60 on the run line, while they are 13-10 as the underdog.
The Braves have played to the over in 77 of their 124 games this season, but have gone under in six straight games. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season, and today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs.
Right-hander Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Nationals at home. So far, he has made 20 starts and has a record of 7-4 with an ERA of 2.05. López has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.19 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on 10 hits. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The most runs he has given up in a start this year is four.
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late, going 14/33 in his last nine games, with two homers and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .307 with 37 homers and 94 RBIs, all of which are team highs. Ozuna also comes into the game on a nine-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team in RBIs, but he is batting just .225 this season.
As a team, the Braves are 3rd in homers and averaging 4.3 runs per game. Their team batting average of .242 is 13th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in isolated power. Overall, they are a below-average offensive team in terms of scoring runs.