Arizona Diamondbacks vs Boston Red Sox Betting Pick & Prediction 8/25/24
From Fenway Park in Boston, we have the Diamondbacks and Red Sox facing off in an interleague matchup. Sunday’s forecast in Boston calls for broken clouds and temperatures in the low 80s. The Red Sox are favored on the money line (-133), while the Diamondbacks have a line of +113. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs.
First pitch for this one is set for 1:35 PM ET, and MLBN will be carrying the TV coverage. Arizona comes in with a record of 74-56 and they are 2nd in the NL West, while the Red Sox are 3rd in the AL East with a record of 67-61. Tanner Houck is starting for the Red Sox, and he is facing off against Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks. Arizona has won five straight heading into Sunday’s game.
BOSTON RED SOX VS ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Boston Red Sox Moneyline -133
This game will be played at Fenway Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, August 25th.
HOW TO BET THE DIAMONDBACKS VS RED SOX:
- We have the Red Sox winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Red Sox series. Arizona went into the matchup as +107 underdogs and squeaked out a 4-1 win. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox and struck out seven times, but still picked up a win.
Boston’s offense got off to a slow start, scoring their only run in the 4th inning. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored two runs in the 1st and added two insurance runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the D-backs were the better offensive team, averaging 4.4 runs per game compared to the Red Sox’s 4.2 runs per game.
Zac Gallen pitched well for the Diamondbacks in this one, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Kutter Crawford went five innings and gave up two earned runs for the Red Sox.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is currently 2nd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers. The Diamondbacks are 74-56 overall, and they have won five straight games, including the first two games of this series vs. the Red Sox. In the NL West, they have gone 22-14 against other teams in the division.
So far, the Diamondbacks have been good both at home (37-26) and on the road (37-30). Arizona has won five straight on the road, and they are 26-21 as road underdogs this year. As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 41-24 this year, and their overall series record is 23-14-4. Looking at their overall record, they have gone 7-3 over their last 10 games.
Arizona’s run line record is 68-62 with an average run margin of 0.7 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are 29-34 against the run line at home and 39-28 on the road. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and are 41-24 against the run line as the underdog.
The Diamondbacks are on the road today against the Red Sox, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged 10.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 71-52. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 4-8 when the line is set at 9.5 runs. Only 5.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 9.5 runs this season.
Right-hander Merrill Kelly is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-0 with a 3.63 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .209 off Kelly this year, and he has turned in three quality starts. In his most recent outing, Kelly finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.
Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base team, with an OBP of .334. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in batting average and 4th in slugging percentage.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Marte leading the team with 30 homers and Walker coming in with 23. Marte’s 81 RBIs are also the best on the team, while Walker is 3rd at 71. Both players have been among the league’s best hitters of late, with Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also hitting over .400 in his last nine games.
Red Sox Records & Stats
Boston will be looking to avoid losing the series to the Diamondbacks, as they currently trail in the series 0-2. The Red Sox are 67-61 overall, and they are eight games behind the Yankees in the AL East. So far this season, they are 16-15 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Red Sox are 29-34 this season and 38-27 on the road. As the favorite, the Red Sox have gone 34-27 and 33-34 as the underdog. So far, they have an overall series record of 21-14-6.
When the Red Sox are at home, they are just 22-41 against the run line, with an average run margin of -0.7 runs per game. They have lost three straight run line bets at Fenway Park and are just 21-40 against the run line when favored.
The Boston Red Sox are back at home today to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs, which is slightly higher than the combined run average of 9.7 runs per game for these two teams. The Red Sox have played 121 games this season, and their O/U record is 67-54. When the O/U line has been set at 9.5 runs this season, their record is 10-11. Overall, only 11.7% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Through 25 starts, Tanner Houck has a record of 8-8 and an ERA of 3.01. He has made 18 quality starts this year, along with one shutout and one complete game. Houck has a WHIP of 1.15 and is coming off a start in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with eight strikeouts. Houck has not taken the loss in each of his last three outings, finishing with a no-decision in each. The right-hander has a BB/9 figure of 2.36 compared to 7.96 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Red Sox are batting .260, which is 3rd in the MLB, and are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and on-base percentage. Boston has been one of the best home run-hitting teams in the league this season.
Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 27 home runs are 9th in the league. He is also batting .293 for the season, and his 77 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Jarren Duran has also been a key contributor for the Red Sox, as he is batting .291 for the season and went 8/27 with two homers in his last seven games.