There are a few key matchups in the NL East on Thursday, with the Braves and Nationals being one of them. This one is taking place at 7:20 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorites on the money line, with their odds sitting at -226. The Nationals are +185 on the money line, and the over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.

Ray Kerr will be on the mound for the Braves, while the Nationals are starting Trevor Williams. Washington is 25-29 this season, while the Braves are 31-22, and they are currently 2nd in the NL East. The Nationals are 3rd in the division. This game can be seen on MASN.


The Pick: OVER 8.5 Runs

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Thursday, May 30th.


  • We have the Braves winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you're looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Atlanta wasted a good outing from Spencer Schwellenbach, as he went five innings and gave up just three runs as the Braves starter vs. the Nationals. After scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 5th, the Nationals were held in check until they broke out for two more in the top of the 9th, picking up a 7-2 road win over the Braves.

MacKenzie Gore got the win for the Nationals, going just 5 1/3 innings but giving up just one run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Braves, Schwellenbach gave up three earned runs on five hits in five innings of work.

Washington's offense was led by a big game from Lane Thomas, who went 3/4 with a home run. He scored three times and drove in two runs. Joey Gallo and Jacob Young each had two hits and two RBIs for the Nationals' lineup.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is 25-29 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 12.5 games. So far, they are 7-6 against other teams in the NL East. The Nationals have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Braves but lost the most recent game.

At home, the Nationals are just 10-13 this year, but they have been better on the road at 15-16. As the underdog, Washington is 22-27 this year and 3-2 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Nationals are 6-10-1 this year. They have closed out the series with the Braves today.

The Nationals are 33-21 against the run line this season, including a 20-11 mark on the road. They have been the underdog in the run line in 49 of their 52 games and are 30-19 in those contests. Their average run differential in all games this season is -0.2 runs per game.

The Washington Nationals are on the road against the Atlanta Braves today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals and their opponents have combined to average 8.3 runs per game this season. Washington has an O/U record of 24-28 this season, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Nationals' O/U record is 9-10. So far this season, 25.9% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, with 38.9% of their games having lower O/U lines.

Trevor Williams gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 2.29. Williams has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he finished with a no-decision. Williams has not taken a loss since April 30. Per nine innings, he has 7.59 strikeouts and 2.47 walks. Williams' ERA at home is 1.67, compared to 2.78 on the road.

Washington's offense has been a bit of a disappointment this season, as they are averaging just 4.1 runs per game (21st) and have one of the worst team slugging percentages in the league. So far, they are 17th in home runs and are batting a combined .232. The Nationals will be looking for CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. to keep up their strong seasons, as they are both hitting over .260 and have combined for 14 home runs.

Over his last eight games, CJ Abrams is just 7/32, but he does have two homers in that stretch. Keibert Ruiz has been hot of late, going 10/24 with six RBIs in his last eight games. Jesse Winker and Joey Gallo are both looking to extend their hitting streaks.

Braves Records & Stats

With an overall record of 31-22, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 11-7 in divisional matchups. The Braves are at home today, where they are 17-10 this year compared to 14-12 on the road.

As the favorite, the Braves have gone 30-19 this year, and they are 1-3 as the underdog. Atlanta's overall series record is 11-5-1, but they are losing the series vs. the Nationals, dropping two of the first three games. Heading into today's game, the Braves are 5-5 in their last 10.

Atlanta has been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 27-26, but they have been better on the road, where they are 15-11. The Braves have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game overall, but that number jumps to 1.3 runs per game on the road. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 3-1, compared to 24-25 as the favorite.

When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is below their season average of 9 runs. The over/under record for the Braves this season is 19-32, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-10. Overall, 45.3% of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs.

Ray Kerr is getting his first start of the season for the Braves, and it comes at home against the Nationals. Kerr has made 3 relief appearances so far, and in his last outing, he took the loss against the Pirates, going 4 innings and giving up 5 runs. In his first outing, he picked up a win, and in his 2nd appearance, he went 3 1/3 innings and struck out 4.

Marcell Ozuna comes into the game as one of the league's top power hitters, as his 16 home runs are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the Braves. Ozuna is also 2nd in the MLB with 49 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .308, and he is currently on a three-game hitting streak. However, over his last nine games, he is batting just .212.

Over his last nine games, Matt Olson is 10/37 with two homers, and he is also on a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Olson is batting just .237, but he does have eight homers. As a team, the Braves are 8th in scoring at 4.5 runs per game, and they are also one of the league's top home run hitting clubs.