Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 5/27/24
At 4:10 PM ET, the Nationals and Braves square off in an NL East matchup. This one is being played at Truist Park in Atlanta, and the Braves are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -201. The Nationals are +170 on the money line, and the over/under line is at 9 runs.
Charlie Morton is starting for the Braves, and he is facing off against Mitchell Parker for the Nationals. Washington is 23-28 this season, while the Braves are 30-20 and are 2nd in the NL East. MASN will be televising Monday’s game.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 9 Runs
This game will be played at Truist Park at 4:10 ET on Monday, May 27th.
HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Nationals Records & Stats
The Nationals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Mariners with a 9-5 loss. Washington was the +150 underdog at home going into this game. Things started off well for the Nationals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Mariners scored three times in the top of the 2nd.
Washington started Patrick Corbin, and he took the loss, going six innings and giving up six earned runs on four hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. The Nationals’s offense scored their other four runs in the 5th inning but couldn’t complete the comeback. CJ Abrams had a big game, going 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
Washington is on the road today, taking on the Braves, and they are 13.5 games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Overall, the Nationals are 23-28 and have gone 5-5 against other teams in the NL East this year.
The Nationals won their series vs. the Mariners, taking two of three games. Overall, they are 3-7 in their last 10 games. As the road underdog, the Nationals are 11-14 this year compared to 20-26 as the underdog overall. As for their record at home, they are 10-13 this year.
Washington is 31-20 against the run line this season, including an 18-10 mark on the road. The Nationals have been a run line underdog in 46 of their 50 games, going 28-18 in those contests. Washington’s average run differential in all games is -0.4, but it jumps to +3.4 in their wins and -3.5 in their losses.
Washington’s over/under record is 22-27, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. Their combined run average is 8.4 runs per game, and when the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 1-3. Only 17.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.
Left-hander Mitchell Parker gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.32 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Parker has a WHIP of 1.16 and opponents are batting .248 this year. In his last outing, Parker picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits. Before that, he had taken the loss in two straight outings. Parker has given up at least one homer in three of his last four starts.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far, averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They are also near the bottom of the league in team slugging percentage and OPS. The Nationals have been striking out at a good rate but are just 15th in walks.
CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two hitters in terms of batting average, with Garcia leading the team with 26 RBIs. Abrams has gone just 3/19 in his last five games, while Eddie Rosario is also looking to turn things around, as he is batting just .172 for the season and went 1/18 in his last five games. However, Rosario does have seven homers, which is 2nd on the team.
Braves Records & Stats
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with an 8-1 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the 2nd inning, the Braves responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 3rd. Atlanta went on to close things out with another two runs in the 8th.
Chris Sale put together a good start for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Pirates batters. Matt Olson was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
With a record of 30-20, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 10-5 in divisional games. Atlanta will open their series vs. the Nationals today, and they are 16-8 at home this season.
As for how they have fared as the favorite this season, the Braves are 29-17, and they are 1-3 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 11-5-1, but they dropped their most recent series vs. the Pirates. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are just 4-6 over their last ten games.
The Braves have a run line record of 26-24 this season, with a +0.9 average run margin per game. They are 11-13 against the run line at home, where they have a run differential of +0.5 runs per game. They are 15-11 against the run line on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.3 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 23-23 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 3-1. In their wins, their average run differential is +3.8 runs per game, while in their losses, it is -3.4.
When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at 9 runs. This season, their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 17-31, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 4-7-1. So far, 11 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 22.0% of their games.
Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Cubs, he went five innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. Morton was able to work out of trouble in that outing, as he issued four walks and gave up a homer. Looking back further, he has made four straight quality starts and has a record of 3-1 this season. Morton’s ERA is 3.35, and his WHIP for the season is 1.20.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .311 with 15 home runs and 47 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league. Ozuna has also been very good at getting on base, as his OBP of .396 is the best mark on the team. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs, but he is batting just .230 this season.
Over the Braves’ last six games, Adam Duvall has gone just 3/14, but two of his three hits have been home runs. Matt Olson has also gone deep twice in this stretch, but he is just 6/26 in his last six games. Michael Harris II has gone 8/25 in his last six games and is also on a three-game hitting streak.