Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 5/27/24
Joe Ryan and the Twins (28-24) will host the Royals (34-20) today at Target Field in Minneapolis, with the game getting started at 2:10 PM ET. There does appear to be a chance of rain in the forecast in Minneapolis on Monday.
Minnesota comes into the game as the heavy favorite, with their money line odds sitting at -168, while the Royals are at +143. Today’s over/under line is at 8 runs, and the game can be seen on BSN.
MINNESOTA TWINS VS KANSAS CITY ROYALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -168
This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Monday, May 27th.
HOW TO BET THE ROYALS VS TWINS:
- We have the Twins winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Royals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Royals Records & Stats
To close out their series vs. the Rays, the Royals fell by a score of 4-1. Kansas City was the +106 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Royals, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Rays scored three times in the bottom of the first.
Michael Wacha put together a good start for the Royals, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs, and picking up seven K’s. However, he took the loss, as the Royals could only score one run. Bobby Witt Jr. had the team’s only other good performance at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer.
Kansas City is 34-20 overall and 2nd in the AL Central, 2.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. The Royals will be on the road today to take on the Twins, with their overall division record sitting at 11-5. The Royals closed out their series vs. the Rays with a win and are 8-2 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Royals have gone 21-8 this year, and they are just above .500 at 13-12 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, putting up an 18-6 mark and 16-14 as the underdog. Kansas City’s overall series record is 10-7, and they have won three straight series.
When the Royals win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is 4.1 runs per game. This has helped them to a 35-19 record against the run line this season, including a 20-9 mark at home. As the favorite, they are 15-9 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 20-10. Overall, their average run differential this season is +1.5 runs per game.
The Kansas City Royals are on the road against the Minnesota Twins today. The O/U line for the game is set at 8 runs. The Royals have been involved in games with an average of 8.3 runs per game this season. Their O/U record for the season is 22-30, and when the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 6-4-1. So far this season, 59.3% of their games have had an O/U line set at over 8 runs.
Kansas City is sending right-hander Alec Marsh to the mound today as he faces the Twins on the road. Marsh has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-1 with an ERA of 2.72. In his 43 innings of work, he has issued just 2.51 walks per nine innings compared to 7.53 strikeouts. Marsh has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He did come away with the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight starts.
Salvador Perez and Bobby Witt Jr. have been two of the Royals’ top power threats this season, as they both have nine home runs, which is 9th in the league. Perez is batting .325 for the season, and Witt Jr. is hitting .307. Witt Jr. has been especially hot of late, going 12/29 in his last seven games, including four homers. Maikel Garcia is also on a hot streak, going 13/32 in his last seven games.
As a team, the Royals are 6th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the best-hitting teams in the league, batting .252, and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league.
Twins Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Rangers, the Twins closed out the series with a 6-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead of -169 on the money line going into the game. The Twins scored their only two runs in the 4th inning and allowed the Rangers to score six unanswered runs to close things out. Minnesota’s offense wasted a good start from Pablo Lopez, who took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up six earned runs.
Carlos Correa was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored and an RBI. However, the Twins really could have used a big game from him, as they scored just two runs. Pablo Lopez took the loss out of the bullpen, as the Twins allowed three runs in the top of the 9th to blow their lead.
Minnesota is 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 7.5 games. Overall, they are 28-24 and have gone 12-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins are playing at home today, and they are 13-12 at home this season.
So far, the Twins have been good as the favorite, going 23-12, but they are just 5-12 as the underdog. Minnesota’s overall series record is 9-6-2, and they have won two straight series. Their overall record includes going 15-12 on the road.
The Twins have been a solid bet against the run line this season, as they’ve covered in 25 of their 52 games. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 15-12 against the run line. They’ve been a slight underdog in most of those games, going 8-9 against the run line as the underdog.
The Twins’ over/under record is 23-27, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-7-2. The combined run average in their games this season is 8.8 runs, and 38.5% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs. They are playing the Royals today at home, and the over/under line for the game is 8 runs.
Right-hander Joe Ryan is getting the start for the Twins today vs. the Royals and comes into the game with a record of 3-3 and ERA of 3.15. Looking at his overall numbers, Ryan has made 10 starts, and opponents are batting .215 this season. He has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Ryan didn’t allow a run in seven innings of work vs. the Nationals. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Ryan has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 1.49 compared to 5.06 at home.
Over the Twins’ last nine games, both Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda have gone 9/30, with Miranda driving in three runs and Correa hitting two home runs. Alex Kirilloff has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/17 with three homers in his last eight games. For the season, Ryan Jeffers is leading the team with 10 homers, which is 8th best in the league, and his 33 RBIs are 12th in the MLB.
Minnesota’s offense has been better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league. Overall, they are 13th in the league at 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .231, but are 9th in the league in homers and have the 4th best isolated power mark in the league.