Washington Huskies vs Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
PEAC will be handling the TV broadcast as the Penn State Nittany Lions host the Washington Huskies in a week 11 matchup. The game is set for 8:00 ET at Beaver Stadium in University Park. Penn State comes in with a 7-1 record, and the over/under line is currently at 45.5 points. The Nittany Lions are favored by -13.5 points over the Huskies, who are 5-4 on the season.
WASHINGTON HUSKIES VS PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Huskies +13.5
This game will be played at Beaver Stadium at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE WASHINGTON HUSKIES:
- We have the Penn State Nittany Lions winning this one by a score of 28 to 17
- Even though we like the Penn State Nittany Lions to win, our ATS pick is to take the Washington Huskies at +13.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The Washington Huskies Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Washington heads into Week 11 against Penn State with a 5-4 record, ranked 41st in our power rankings. They have a 77.5% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Huskies are 4-1 at home but have struggled on the road, going 0-3 this season.
Washington’s ATS record is 3-5, with a 3-2 mark at home and 0-3 on the road. They’ve been favored in four games, going 2-2 against the spread as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +4.6 points per game.
The Huskies’ over/under record stands at 2-6, with their games averaging 42.6 points. Their average O/U line is 47.7 points, and this week’s line is set at 45.5 points.
Washington’s offense ranks 77th in points per game, scoring 23.6, and they are 85th in third-down conversions, with a 37.4% success rate. However, they are 45th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. They have been effective in the passing game, ranking 8th in completions and 16th in passing yards, averaging 280.7 yards per game. They are 4th in completion percentage, completing 71.5% of their passes, and 22nd in passing attempts.
Will Rogers has thrown for 2,284 yards and has a passer rating of 105. He has 13 touchdowns and 4 interceptions this season. Jonah Coleman leads the rushing attack with 889 yards and 7 touchdowns, averaging 6 yards per carry. Denzel Boston has 682 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns on 53 catches.
Washington’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 23rd nationally by allowing just 19 points per game. They’ve been particularly effective against the pass, giving up only 142 yards per game, the 5th-lowest in the country, and holding opposing quarterbacks to a 66.6 passer rating, with a completion rate of just 51%.
In their recent game against USC, Washington’s defense forced three interceptions but also allowed 459 total yards, including 293 passing yards and two passing touchdowns. USC also ran the ball 29 times for 166 yards.
Are The Penn State Nittany Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Penn State enters Week 11 with a 7-1 record, ranked 11th in our power rankings. They are a lock for bowl eligibility and have a 5.2% chance of winning the Big Ten. However, they hold the 6th best odds to make the playoff at 74.5%.
The Nittany Lions have gone 4-1 at home and 2-0 on the road this season. They’ve been favored in six of their eight games, going 6-0 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +15.8, and they are 3-4 against the spread.
Penn State’s over/under record is 1-6, with an average line of 50.1 points. This week’s line is 45.5 points, and their games have averaged 45.8 points per contest.
Heading into week 11, Penn State’s offense is averaging 30.8 points per game, placing them 38th in the nation. However, they are ranked 16th in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 47.3%, and they are 9th in passer rating at 115. They also rank 5th in completion percentage, completing 71.4% of their passes.
Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 1,786 yards with a passer rating of 111, completing 70.1% of his passes. He has 12 touchdowns and five interceptions. On the ground, Penn State averages 189.2 rushing yards per game. Kaytron Allen leads the team with 536 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry and scoring four touchdowns.
Even in their recent 20-13 loss to Ohio State, Penn State’s defense played well, allowing just 20 points. They gave up 361 total yards, including 179 rushing yards on 38 attempts and 182 passing yards, while also recording an interception.
On the season, Penn State ranks 7th nationally, allowing just 15 points per game. They’ve given up 107 rushing yards per game (21st) and 175.5 passing yards per game, with opposing quarterbacks completing 55.6% of their passes and posting a passer rating of 74.1.