Purdue Boilermakers vs Ohio State Buckeyes Betting Pick & Prediction 11/9/24
FOX will be covering this week 11 matchup between the Purdue Boilermakers and the Ohio State Buckeyes, with a kick-off set for 12:00 ET at Ohio Stadium in Columbus. The over/under line is at 53.5 points, and the Buckeyes are the heavy favorite at -37.5 points. The money line odds are -200 for Ohio State and +165 for Purdue. Purdue comes in with a 1-7 record, while Ohio State is 7-1 on the season.
PURDUE BOILERMAKERS VS OHIO STATE BUCKEYES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Ohio State Buckeyes -37.5
This game will be played at Ohio Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 9th.
WHY BET THE OHIO STATE BUCKEYES:
- We have the Ohio State Buckeyes winning this one by a score of 46 to 7
- Not only do we have the Ohio State Buckeyes winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -37.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 53.5 points
Will The Purdue Boilermakers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Purdue enters Week 11 against Ohio State with a 1-7 record, and they have no chance of becoming bowl-eligible. They are ranked 111th in our CFB power rankings.
The Boilermakers have been underdogs in all eight games this season, with an average scoring margin of -16.6 points per game. They are 0-5 against the spread.
Purdue’s over/under record is 3-2, with their games averaging 57.1 points. This week’s line is 53.5 points, compared to their average line of 48.9 points.
Purdue’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 20.2 points per game, which ranks them 91st nationally. They are 103rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Their third-down conversion rate is low, at 35.1%, and they are 111th in passing yards, averaging 185.8 yards per game. On the ground, they average 149.9 rushing yards per game.
Hudson Card leads the team with 1,005 passing yards, and he has eight touchdown passes and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 88. Devin Mockobee has rushed for 539 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jahmal Edrine is the leading receiver with 215 yards and two touchdowns.
Purdue’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 36.9 points per game. In their recent game against Northwestern, they gave up 26 points, including 302 passing yards, though they did manage to force an interception. Overall, the defense allowed 426 total yards in the game.
Opponents have averaged 204.5 rushing yards per game against Purdue, and quarterbacks have posted a 101.1 passer rating, completing 63.6% of their passes. Purdue’s secondary has faced the 25th fewest pass attempts in the country, but they have allowed 243.2 passing yards per game, ranking 126th nationally.
Are The Ohio State Buckeyes Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Ohio State enters Week 11 against Purdue with a 7-1 record, ranked 2nd in our power rankings. They are 5-0 at home this season and have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Buckeyes also have a 43.2% chance of winning the Big Ten and a 91.3% chance of making the College Football Playoff.
Ohio State’s average scoring margin is +25.8 points per game, and they’ve been favored in all eight games this season. Their ATS record is 4-4, with a 2-3 mark at home and 2-1 on the road.
The over/under line for this week is 53.5 points. Ohio State’s games have averaged 49.8 points, and their average over/under line is 51.4 points, with their over/under record sitting at 4-4 this season.
Ohio State’s offense ranks 14th in points per game, averaging 37.8, but they are 6th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 11. Will Howard has thrown for 1,977 yards and has a passer rating of 123. Ohio State is 3rd in the nation in completion percentage, completing 71.7% of their passes, and 4th in passer rating.
Howard has 19 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. Quinshon Judkins leads the rushing attack with 615 yards, averaging 6 yards per carry. Jeremiah Smith has 678 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 39 catches.
Ohio State’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 12 points per game. In their recent matchup against Penn State, they gave up only 13 points, while holding the Nittany Lions to 270 total yards and forcing an interception.
Opponents are averaging 100.2 rushing yards per game on 31.2 attempts against Ohio State, while quarterbacks have managed just 161.5 passing yards per game, ranking 14th-lowest in the country.