Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Keydets and Buccaneers. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Buccaneers at Harrah's Cherokee Center in Asheville, NC. Get ready to place your bets! This Southern conference matchup has an over/under of 147 points, and East Tennessee State is favored to win by -16 at home vs. VMI.


The Pick: VMI Keydets +16

This game will be played at Harrah's Cherokee Center at 7:30 ET on Friday, March 8th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-70 in favor of the Buccaneers.
  • Even though we have East Tennessee State winning straight-up, we like VMI at +16.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 147 points, and we like the under with a projected 145 points.

Does VMI Stand a Chance on the Road?

As a team, VMI has struggled mightily this season, as they come into this game with a record of 4-27. They have lost 12 straight games and have gone just 1-17 in Southern Conference action. On the road, the Keydets are 0-15, and their average scoring margin is -21.4 points per game.

Overall, VMI has been the underdog in 28 of their 31 games, going 1-27 in those contests. In their most recent game, they lost to Wofford by a score of 74-62. Over their last 10 games on the road, the Keydets have gone 0-10.

As the underdog, VMI has gone 11-17 vs. the spread this season. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Keydets have an ATS record of 5-5.

This season, the over/under record for VMI games is 12-16 and today's line of 147 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (152.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

Coming off their recent game, the VMI offense tallied 62 points in a matchup against Wofford. Their field goal percentage for the game was 32.3%, and they made 8 threes. The team's scoring leader is Tyran Cook, who holds an average of 12.7 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Brennan Watkins is averaging 15.1 points per game this season.

So far, the Keydets' defense is ranked 346th in the country at 82.1 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Wofford, the Terriers finished with a field goal percentage of 32% and a total of 74 points vs. VMI.

Can the Buccaneers Secure a Win at Home?

East Tennessee State has been a much better team at home this season, going 9-4 compared to 5-11 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +2.7, while it is -5.2 on the road.

So far, the Buccaneers have been the favorite in 11 of their 31 games, going 9-2 in those contests. They have won their last two games and are 16-15 overall.

As the favorite this season, East Tennessee State has gone 4-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Buccaneers are 4-6 vs. the spread.

East Tennessee State's over/under record for the season sits at 15-14 and the average scoring total in their games is 139.6 points. Today's over/under line of 147 is higher than the average OU line in their games (141.9). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 143 points.

The East Tennessee State offense is coming off a game where they scored 66 points against UNCG. They posted a field goal percentage of 45.1% and connected on 6 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Jaden Seymour who comes into today's matchup averaging 15.1. Ebby Asamoah also heads into the game with a PPG average of 15.3.

At present, the Buccaneers' defense is nationally ranked 97th, allowing 69.3 points per game. Against UNCG in their most recent game, the East Tennessee State defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing UNCG to hit 45% of their shots.