Virginia Cavaliers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24
Notre Dame enters this week 12 non-conference matchup with a record of 8-1, and they are the heavy favorite over Virginia, who is 5-4 this season. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET at Notre Dame Stadium, and the over/under line is currently at 50.5 points. NBC will be handling the television broadcast of this game.
VIRGINIA CAVALIERS VS NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH BETTING PICK
The Pick: Virginia Cavaliers +23
This game will be played at Notre Dame Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, November 16th.
WHY BET THE VIRGINIA CAVALIERS:
- We have the Notre Dame Fighting Irish winning this one by a score of 35 to 15
- Even though we like the Notre Dame Fighting Irish to win, our ATS pick is to take the Virginia Cavaliers at +23
- We see this game finishing below the line of 50.5 points
Will The Virginia Cavaliers Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Virginia enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, but they have a 0% chance of winning the Atlantic Coast. However, they have a 42.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Cavaliers are 3-1 on the road this season, while they’ve gone 1-3 at home.
Against the spread, Virginia is 5-2-1, with a perfect 3-0-1 record on the road. They’ve been favored in five games, going 2-2-1 ATS as the favorite, and they’ve covered in all three games as the underdog.
Their over/under record is 3-5, with an average line of 55.3 points. This week’s line is set at 50.5 points, and Virginia’s games have averaged 52.7 points per contest.
Virginia’s offense is averaging 26 points per game heading into week 12, placing them 58th in the nation. We have them ranked 79th in our offensive power rankings. Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has thrown for 1,948 yards with 12 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 87.
Virginia ranks 40th in passing attempts per game, averaging 33.4, and they are 44th in passing yards, with 254.4 per game. They have converted just 35.3% of their third-down attempts, ranking 105th nationally. Leading receiver Malachi Fields has 665 yards and four touchdowns this season.
Virginia’s defense played a key role in their 24-19 win over Pittsburgh, allowing just 19 points and forcing two interceptions. They gave up 292 total yards, including 127 rushing yards on 32 attempts and 165 passing yards.
For the season, Virginia’s defense is ranked 61st nationally, allowing 26.7 points per game. They have given up an average of 133.7 rushing yards per game (59th) and 262.9 passing yards, which ranks 146th in the country.
Are The Notre Dame Fighting Irish Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Notre Dame comes into Week 12 with an 8-1 record, ranked 4th in our power rankings. They have a 67% chance of making the playoff, according to our projections. The Fighting Irish are 4-0 on the road and 4-1 at home this season.
Against the spread, Notre Dame is 7-2, with a perfect 4-0 record on the road and a 3-2 mark at home. They’ve been favored in eight of their nine games, and their average scoring margin is +27.2 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is set at 50.5 points. Notre Dame’s average over/under line this season has been 46.5 points, and their over/under record is 5-4, with their games averaging 49.4 points.
Notre Dame’s offense is averaging 38.3 points per game heading into week 12, ranking 12th in college football. They are also 19th in our offensive power rankings. Their rushing attack is the strength of their offense, averaging 215.6 yards per game, placing them 16th nationally in rushing yards.
Jeremiyah Love leads the team with 583 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Quarterback Riley Leonard has thrown for 1,575 yards with a passer rating of 92. He has nine touchdowns and three interceptions, completing 64.4% of his passes.
Notre Dame’s defense has been a standout unit this season, ranking third nationally by allowing just 11.1 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to a passer rating of 52.8, which is the third-lowest in the country, and limited quarterbacks to a 48.5% completion rate. On average, they’ve given up just 148.6 passing yards per game, the seventh-fewest in college football.
In their recent game against Florida State, Notre Dame’s defense allowed only 3 points and 208 total yards. They held the Seminoles to 88 passing yards and intercepted two passes. Florida State managed 120 rushing yards on 43 attempts.