Texas Longhorns vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

ABC will be covering this week 12 college football matchup between the Texas Longhorns and Arkansas Razorbacks, set to kick off at 12:00 ET from Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. The Longhorns are heavy -13.5-point favorites on the road, with the over/under line currently at 57.5 points. Texas enters the game with a record of 8-1, while Arkansas is 5-4 on the season.

TEXAS LONGHORNS VS ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas Longhorns -13.5

This game will be played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium at 12:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS LONGHORNS:

• We have the Texas Longhorns winning this one by a score of 37 to 18
• Not only do we have the Texas Longhorns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -13.5
• We see this game finishing below the line of 57.5 points

Will The Texas Longhorns Win As Road Favorites?

At 8-1 this season, Texas is ranked 2nd in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 38% chance to win the Southeastern. Texas also holds the 4th best odds to make the playoff at 81.4%, and the 2nd best odds to reach the national championship game at 28%.

Texas has been favored in all nine games, going 8-1 with a +26.8 average scoring margin. Their ATS record stands at 6-3, with a 4-2 mark at home and 2-1 on the road.

The over/under line for this week is 57.5 points. Texas games have averaged 51 points, and their average over/under line is 53.1 points. They are 4-4-1 against the over/under this season.

Heading into week 12, Texas ranks 10th in points per game, averaging 38.9, and they are 14th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is their strength, ranking 14th nationally with 301 yards per game. They are 20th in completions, averaging 23.7 per game, and 9th in completion percentage at 68.5%. Texas is also 8th in passer rating.

Quinn Ewers leads the team with 1,722 passing yards, 19 touchdowns, and a passer rating of 111. On the ground, Texas averages 164.8 rushing yards per game. Quintrevion Wisner has 409 rushing yards this season. Isaiah Bond leads the receivers with 435 yards and five touchdowns.

Texas’ defense has been impressive this season, ranking 4th nationally by allowing just 12.1 points per game. In their latest matchup, they held Florida to 17 points, giving up 329 total yards but also forcing two interceptions.

Opponents have averaged 117.6 rushing yards per game against Texas and 135.1 passing yards, the 4th-lowest in the country. Quarterbacks have struggled, posting a passer rating of just 50.4, the 2nd-lowest in college football.

Are The Arkansas Razorbacks Going Win In At Upset At Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Arkansas enters Week 12 with a 5-4 record, but they have a 96.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, the Razorbacks are 2-2, while they’ve gone 2-1 on the road. So far, they’ve been favored in just two games this season, and they’ve won both of those matchups.

Against the spread, Arkansas is 4-3, with a perfect 3-0 record on the road and a 1-3 mark at home. They’ve gone 1-1 ATS as the favorite and 3-2 as the underdog, with an average scoring margin of +6.7 points per game.

The over/under line for this week is 57.5 points, slightly above their average line of 56.2 points. Arkansas games have averaged 59.3 points, and their over/under record stands at 3-4 this season.

Heading into week 12, Arkansas ranks 32nd in points per game, averaging 33, and they sit 37th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the focal point, ranking 17th nationally with 292.2 yards per game. They convert 47.9% of their third downs, 12th best in the nation.

Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 2,213 yards, completing 61.2% of his passes, with 11 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 91. Leading rusher Ja’Quinden Jackson has 592 yards and 10 touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. Andrew Armstrong leads the receivers with 857 yards on 55 catches, but has just one touchdown.

Arkansas’s defense struggled in their recent game, allowing 63 points in a 63-31 loss to Ole Miss. Despite giving up just 396 total yards, including 133 rushing yards on 35 attempts and 263 passing yards, the Razorbacks forced one interception.

On the season, Arkansas ranks 42nd in the nation against the run, allowing 121.8 rushing yards per game. However, they’ve given up 266.2 passing yards per game, ranking 153rd, with opposing quarterbacks completing 62.6% of their passes and posting a 92.8 passer rating.