Betting on today's Wildcats and Musketeers game? Catch the action at Cintas Center in Cincinnati, OH, as the Musketeers hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on FS1. This Big East conference matchup has an over/under of 146.5 points, and Xavier is favored to win by -3 at home vs. Villanova.


The Pick: Xavier Musketeers -3

This game will be played at Cintas Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Musketeers.
  • Not only will Xavier pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 146.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Can the Wildcats Pull Off a Road Win?

Through 22 games, Villanova has a 12-10 record, including a 5-6 mark in Big East play. The Wildcats have gone 7-4 in non-conference games, compared to 3-5 on the road.

As underdogs, Villanova has gone 2-4 this season, and they enter this game on a three-game losing streak away from home. Their average margin of defeat on the road is -0.6 points per game.

As the underdog, Villanova has gone 3-3 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 11-11, but they are just 3-7 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games and 0-3 in their last 3 road games.

Today's over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Villanova's games this season (139.2). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

In their recent matchup, the Villanova offense ended with 68 points against Providence. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 42.2% and made 10 threes. The top scorer for the Wildcats was Eric Dixon with 12 points, while Brendan Hausen also added 11 to the scoreboard.

This season, the Villanova defense has been impressive, holding the 71st position in the country while permitting an average of 67.6 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Villanova's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.6% this season.

Can Xavier Deliver Being Favored at Home?

With a 12-10 record, Xavier is 6-5 in Big East games, and they have won two games in a row. So far, the Musketeers have gone 9-4 at home compared to 3-6 on the road. At home, Xavier is outscoring opponents by an average of 8.4 points per game.

Coming into this game, the Musketeers have been favored in 13 of their 22 games, going 10-3 in those matchups. In their last game, Xavier beat DePaul by a score of 93-68. Over their last 10 home games, the Musketeers have gone 6-4.

As the favorite this season, Xavier has gone 8-5 vs. the spread. At home, the Musketeers have an ATS mark of 8-4-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Xavier has an ATS record of 7-3.

Today's over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Xavier's games this season (148.4). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 160 points.

Xavier's offense is coming off a strong performance vs. DePaul, finishing the game with a total of 93 points. Their season average is now 77.1 points per game. Quincy Olivari was the leading scorer for the Musketeers, putting up 43 points. In addition, Desmond Claude contributed 15 points.

At present, the Musketeers' defense is nationally ranked 193rd, allowing 73.0 points per game. The Xavier defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 68 points and allowed DePaul to connect on 4 threes.