Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Beacons versus the Sycamores? Tip off is at at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Hulman Center in Terre Haute, IN. The over/under for this Missouri Valley conference contest is set at 153.5 points, with Indiana State being favored by -20.5 at home against Valparaiso.


The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +20.5

This game will be played at Hulman Center at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, February 7th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-70 in favor of the Sycamores.
  • Even though we have Indiana State winning straight-up, we like Valparaiso at +20.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 153.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will Valparaiso Win on the Road?

Valparaiso heads into this game as a 20.5-point underdog. The Beacons have struggled this season, going just 6-17 overall and 2-10 in the Missouri Valley Conference. They come into this game on a four-game losing streak, including a 63-62 loss to Evansville.

On the road, Valparaiso has gone just 1-9 this season, and they have lost their last three road games. For the year, their average scoring margin on the road is -7.8 points per game.

Valparaiso has been a solid bet all season, going 13-8-1 vs the spread. Their road ATS mark is even better at 8-1-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Beacons have gone 8-2 vs the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 3-0 in their last 3 games and 8-1-1 in their last 10.

Valparaiso's over/under record this season sits at 10-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 139.2 points. Today's over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.1). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 142 points.

The Valparaiso offense is coming off a game in which they scored 62 points vs. Evansville. Overall their field goal percentage was 41.3% while connecting on 8 threes. Offensively, the Beacons have a season long field goal percentage of 40%, which is 365th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 255th in percentage and 222nd in three-pointers made.

So far, the Beacons' defense is ranked 177th in the country at 72.3 points per contest. The Valparaiso defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 63 points and allowed Evansville to connect on 8 threes.

Can the Sycamores Offense Score Enough at Home?

Indiana State enters this game with a 20-3 record, including a perfect 10-0 mark at home. They have won their last seven games, including a 75-67 victory over Drake.

As the favorite, the Sycamores are a perfect 18-0 this season. For the year, they have gone 11-1 in Missouri Valley Conference play, compared to a 9-2 mark in non-conference action.

As the favorite this season, Indiana State has gone 13-5 against the spread. Their home ATS record is 8-2, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Sycamores are 7-3 vs. the spread.

Indiana State's over/under record this season is currently 13-9, and today's over/under line of 153.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (156.5). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today's line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 157 points.

The Indiana State offense is coming off a game where they scored 75 points against Drake. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.4% and connected on 7 threes. Ryan Conwell led the scoring for the Sycamores, contributing 21 points. Additionally, Robbie Avila chipped in with 20 points.

Indiana State's defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.4 points per game. So far, the Indiana State defense is giving up an average of 7.3 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.7 times per game (575th).