Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Roadrunners and Bulls. The game is starting at 4:00 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Bulls at Yuengling Center in Tampa, FL. Get ready to place your bets! The over/under for this American Athletic conference contest is set at 159.5 points, with South Florida being favored by -9 at home against UTSA.


The Pick: South Florida Bulls -9

This game will be played at Yuengling Center at 4:00 ET on Saturday, January 27th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-66 in favor of the Bulls.
  • Not only will South Florida pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 159.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Does UTSA Have a Shot at a Road Win?

UTSA is coming off an 89-88 win over Tulane, and they are 8-12 overall this season. On the road, the Roadrunners have gone 2-7, and they have a road scoring margin of -8.9 points per game. Over their last ten games away from home, they are 2-8.

For the season, UTSA has been the underdog in 12 of their 20 games, and they have gone 2-10 in those games. They are 5-1 when favored, and their record in the American Athletic Conference is 2-4 compared to 6-8 in non-conference games.

As the underdog this season, UTSA has an ATS record of 5-7. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-6 and over their last 10 road games, they are 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 games as the underdog, the Roadrunners have gone 2-1 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 159.5 is higher than the average over/under line in UTSA's games this season (152.5). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 with an average scoring total of 192 points.

In their latest game, UTSA's offense looked good, scoring 89 points against Tulane. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.2% and made 21/30 free throws. Carlton Linguard Jr. led the team in scoring, putting up 31 points. Additionally, Trey Edmonds contributed 11 points for the Roadrunners.

As they prepare for the upcoming game, UTSA is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 83.5 points per game (314th). In their most recent game, the UTSA defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Tulane knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 88 points.

Can the Bulls Lock in a Home Win?

South Florida enters tonight's game as nine-point favorites, and they have been excellent at home this season. The Bulls are 10-2 at home with an average scoring margin of +10.2 points per game.

Overall, South Florida has won four straight games, and they are 12-5 on the season. In American Athletic Conference play, the Bulls have gone 5-1, and they are 7-4 in non-conference action.

South Florida has been solid against the spread this season, going 10-5-2. At home, the Bulls have an ATS mark of 8-3-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, South Florida is 7-2-1 vs. the spread.

South Florida's over/under record this season is 5-12 and today's line of 159.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148.4). So far, 14 of their games have finished with less points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points compared to their season average of 146.2.

In their recent game, the Bulls' offense concluded with 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.9 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Selton Miguel, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 14.5, while Chris Youngblood also maintains a PPG average of 14.2 leading up to the game.

Currently, the Bulls' defense holds the 115th rank in the nation, allowing 70.2 points per game. South Florida's three-point defense is currently 126th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. South Florida.