Don't miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Skyhawks and Tigers. The game is starting at 8:30 ET on ESPN+, and it's hosted by the Tigers at Gentry Center in Nashville, TN. Get ready to place your bets! This Ohio Valley conference matchup has an over/under of 161 points, and the Tigers are favored to win at home vs. the Skyhawks.


The Pick: Tennessee State Tigers -4.5

This game will be played at Gentry Center at 8:30 ET on Thursday, December 28th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Tigers.
  • Not only will Tennessee State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -4.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 161 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Skyhawks Exceed Expectations on the Road?

UT Martin will be playing their 14th game of the season, and they currently have a record of 7-6. When playing on the road, UT Martin has a record of 2-5, and when playing at home, they have a record of 1-1. Entering today's game, UT Martin holds a 4-5 record against the spread. In their previous five games, the team is 2-1 ATS.

Looking at their over/under performance through 13 games, UT Martin has an over/under record of 6-3-0, with their games averaging 167.2 points per game on average. The Skyhawks have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 164 points per game and an over/under record of 2-1.

The UT Martin offense is coming off a game in which they scored 91 points vs. Evansville. Overall their field goal percentage was 48.6% while connecting on 9 threes. Jordan Sears is leading the team in scoring at 20.2 points per contest. Jacob Crews has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 17.4 going into the game.

The Skyhawks' defense is presently ranked 258th nationally, allowing an average of 79.7 points per contest. The UT Martin defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 98 points and allowed Evansville to connect on 8 threes.

Can the Tennessee State Offense Score Enough at Home?

Tennessee State currently has a 7-6 record as they face UT Martin today. So far this season, all of the Tigers' games have been played on the road. Tennessee State has a sub-.500 ATS record, currently standing at 2-7. In the team's most recent five games, they are 0-4 vs. the spread.

Tennessee State's games have, on average, featured 146.9 points per game leading to an over/under record of 4-5-0. Their average over/under line is currently 147.7 points so far. Looking at the Tigers' last three games, their over/under record is 1-1 with their games averaging 153 points per game.

Against Indiana State, the Tennessee State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 76.8 points per game. They scored 69 points and posted a field goal percentage of 40.6% in the game. Offensively, the Tigers hold a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, placing them 298th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 313rd in terms of percentage and 237th in three-pointers made.

So far, the Tigers' defense is ranked 120th in the country at 69.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Tennessee State's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 37.3% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 25.1% this season.