The Spartans and Keydets are set to face off at 6:00 ET on ESPN+. The Keydets will host the game at Cameron Hall in Lexington, VA. UNCG come into this Southern conference matchup as the -16.5 favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 148 points.


The Pick: VMI Keydets +16.5

This game will be played at Cameron Hall at 6:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Keydets.
  • Not only will VMI pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +16.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 148 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will UNCG Be The Talk of Cameron Hall?

UNCG has been much better at home this season, going 8-1 compared to 4-5 on the road. They have been favored in 12 games this season, going 10-2 in those contests. In their last game, the Spartans lost to Mercer, 70-64.

This season, UNCG has a record of 15-6. In Southern Conference play, they are 5-2, compared to 10-4 in non-conference games. On the road, the Spartans have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games.

Against the spread, UNCG is 7-11 this season. On the road, their ATS record is 4-5. As the favorite, their ATS mark is 5-7. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, they are 2-1 ATS.

Today's over/under line of 148 is higher than the average over/under line in UNCG's games this season (142.3). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 147. For the season, their over/under record is 10-8.

In their most recent game, the UNCG offense put up just 64 points vs. the Mercer Bears. Overall, they are now averaging 76.9 points per game which is 126th in the country. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 131st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 43rd in terms of percentage and 18th in three-pointers made.

Coming into today's game, the UNCG defense is giving up an average of 68.8 points per contest. In today's game vs. VMI, the UNCG defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, UNCG made 17 free-throws vs. the Spartans.

Is a Home Win Possible for the Keydets?

After losing their last game to Western Carolina by a score of 102-77, VMI's record now stands at 4-17. They have gone 1-2 in their last three home games, and over their last ten games at home, they are 3-7.

So far this season, VMI has gone 0-10 on the road, where their average scoring margin is -20.7 points per game. Their losing streak away from home is at ten games.

As the underdog this season, VMI has gone 6-12 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Keydets have gone just 3-7 vs. the spread. At home, VMI is 3-5 ATS this season and 2-2 ATS in their last 5 home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for VMI games is 7-11. Today's over/under line of 148 is slightly lower than the average OU line in their games this year (149.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 152 points compared to their season average of 151.7 points per game. Their over/under record over their last three games is 1-2.

VMI recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 77 points against Western Carolina. This output exceeded their season average of 71 points per game. Currently leading the team in scoring is Brennan Watkins who comes into today's matchup averaging 15.3. Tyran Cook also heads into the game with a PPG average of 13.

Coming into the game, VMI will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 80.5 points per game (306th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.0 threes per game vs. UNCG. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.9%.