Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Knights versus the Cougars? Tip off is at at 9:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Marriott Center in Provo, UT. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 143.5 points, and BYU is favored by -11.5 to win at home against UCF.


The Pick: UCF Knights +11.5

This game will be played at Marriott Center at 9:00 ET on Tuesday, February 13th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 72-71 in favor of the Knights.
  • Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +11.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 143.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will the Knights Win on the Road?

UCF is currently 13-9 this season and 4-6 in Big 12 play. They have gone 9-3 in non-conference games, including a 2-5 record on the road.

As an underdog, the Knights have gone 3-7 this season, and they have lost three straight games on the road. In their last game, they fell to Texas Tech, 66-59.

As the underdog this season, UCF has gone 5-4-1 against the spread and has an overall ATS mark of 12-9-1. On the road, their ATS record is 3-4 and over their last three road games, they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread.

UCF's over/under record for the season sits at 11-11 and the average point total in their games is 136.3. Today's over/under line of 143.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (138.7). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 135 points compared to their season average of 136.3 points per game.

Coming off their recent game, the UCF offense tallied 59 points in a matchup against Texas Tech. Their field goal percentage for the game was 36.5%, and they made 5 threes. One area that the UCF offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 75th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 41%.

In the current season, the UCF defense has excelled, sitting 33rd in the nation by allowing 65.0 points per game. UCF will look once again to perform well on defense, holding Texas Tech to just 38% shooting in their most recent game.

Will BYU Find a Way to Win at Home?

BYU is coming off a 72-66 win over Kansas State, and they are 17-6 overall this season. They have gone 5-5 in Big 12 play, and they have been much better at home compared to on the road, going 13-2 at home compared to 4-4 on the road.

For the season, BYU has been favored in 19 of their 23 games, and they have gone 17-2 when favored. They are 12-1 in non-conference action, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

BYU's ATS record this season is 14-8-1, which includes an 11-4 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for BYU games is 10-13, and the average point total in their games is 149.8 points. Today's over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average OU line of 150 for their games this season. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today's OU line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

In contrast to their season average of 83.1 points per game, the BYU had a below average performance. They scored 72 points against Kansas State and had a field goal percentage of 42.9%. The team's top scorer is Jaxson Robinson, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 13.5, while Spencer Johnson also maintains a PPG average of 11.2 leading up to the game.

At present, the Cougars' defense is nationally ranked 50th, allowing 66.7 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.1 threes per game vs. UCF. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.6%.