Looking to win big? The Gauchos and Mustangs face off at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The Mustangs are hosting the game at Mott Athletics Center in San Luis Obispo, CA. The Gauchos come into this Big West conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 140.5 points.


The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +7.5

This game will be played at Mott Athletics Center at 10:00 ET on Saturday, January 6th.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Not only will Cal Poly pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +7.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Can the Gauchos Pull Out the Win as Road Favorites?

UC Santa Barbara comes into today's game as the favorite, with a point spread of -7.5. So far this season, the Gauchos have an overall record of 7-6 and are on a three-game losing streak.

On the road this season, UC Santa Barbara is just 2-4 and has an average scoring margin of -6.5 points per game. In their last game, the Gauchos faced off against California-San Diego and lost by a score of 79-72. Over their last ten road games, UC Santa Barbara is just 4-6.

UC Santa Barbara has not been a strong bet this season, going just 3-7-1 against the spread. Their record vs. the spread when favored is only 1-5-1, and they have gone 0-3 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4 this year and 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home.

This season, the over/under record for UC Santa Barbara games is 6-5 and the average over/under line in their games is 146.9. Today's over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 148 points.

Against California-San Diego, the UC Santa Barbara had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 79.8 points per game. They scored 72 points and posted a field goal percentage of 55.3% in the game. The team's scoring leader is Ajay Mitchell, who holds an average of 20.3 as they head into today's matchup. Additionally, Yohan Traore is averaging 15.8 points per game this season.

The Gauchos' defense is presently ranked 222nd nationally, allowing an average of 75.4 points per contest. So far, the UC Santa Barbara defense is giving up an average of 6.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.2 times per game (646th).

Can Cal Poly Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?

Cal Poly comes into this game as the underdog and is 4-11 overall this season. They have lost three straight games and are 2-3 at home. In their last game, they faced Long Beach State and lost by a score of 89-82.

So far this season, Cal Poly has been the underdog in 14 of their 15 games. As the underdog, they have a record of 3-11. Over their last 10 games at home, the Mustangs are just 3-7.

Cal Poly has an ATS record of 7-7 this season and they are 3-2 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Mustangs have gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

Cal Poly's over/under record this season sits at 7-6-1, and today's line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (135.8). So far, eight of their games have finished with more points than today's line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points, and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-4-1.

Cal Poly finished with 82 points in their game against Long Beach State. This total surpasses their season-average of 65.5 points per game. Quentin Jones led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Paul Bizimana contributed 19 points for the Mustangs.

At present, the Mustangs' defense is nationally ranked 197th, allowing 73.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.0 threes per game vs. UC Santa Barbara. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 36.0%.