The Green Wave and Mustangs are set to face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN2. The Mustangs will host the game at Moody Coliseum in Dallas, TX. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 157 points, and SMU is favored by -9 to win at home against Tulane.

TULANE GREEN WAVE VS SMU MUSTANGS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tulane Green Wave +9

This game will be played at Moody Coliseum at 7:00 ET on Thursday, February 1st.

WHY BET THE TULANE GREEN WAVE:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-69 in favor of the Mustangs.
  • Even though we have SMU winning straight-up, we like Tulane at +9.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 157 points, and we like the under with a projected 143 points.

Will Tulane Come Through as Road Underdogs?

Tulane enters this game as a +9 underdog, and they have gone 1-5 as an underdog this season. They are currently on a two-game losing streak, and their record in their last 10 road games is 4-6. On the road this season, they have gone 3-3, and they have an average scoring margin of -1.8 points.

In their last game, Tulane lost to Charlotte by a score of 75-71. So far this season, they have gone 12-8, including a 3-5 record in American Athletic Conference play. As for their non-conference games, they have gone 9-3.

As the underdog this season, Tulane has gone just 2-4 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-4, and over their last 10 road games, they are just 3-7 vs. the spread. However, over their last three games as the underdog, the Green Wave have gone 2-1 ATS.

On the season, the over/under record for Tulane is 13-6. So far, their games have averaged 164.8 points compared to an average over/under line of 157.6. Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 161 points. Today's over/under line of 157 is lower than the average OU line in their games this season.

In their recent matchup, the Tulane offense ended with 71 points against Charlotte. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.2% and made 6 threes. One area that the Tulane offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 3rd in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 48%.

Looking at the Tulane defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 79.2 points per game (296th). So far, the Tulane defense is giving up an average of 10.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (425th).

Does SMU Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

SMU will be looking to snap their two-game losing streak when they take on Tulane. So far this season, they have gone 13-7, including an 8-2 record at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +18.3.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Mustangs have gone 8-2. In their most recent game, they lost to Wichita State by a score of 77-72. So far this season, they have been the favorite in 13 of their 20 games, going 11-2 in those games.

As the favorite, SMU has an ATS record of 8-4-1 this season and they have gone 3-1-1 vs. the spread in their last 5 games as the favorite. At home, the Mustangs have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 this year and they are 2-0-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 home games.

SMU's over/under record for the season sits at 8-11 and their games have averaged 138.6 points. Today's over/under line of 157 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (141.9). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today's line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 151 points.

In their recent game, the Mustangs' offense concluded with 72 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.5 points per contest. The team's top scorer is Zhuric Phelps, who comes into today's matchup with an average of 14.6, while Chuck Harris also maintains a PPG average of 13.2 leading up to the game.

So far, the Mustangs' defense is ranked 14th in the country at 63.4 points per contest. The SMU defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Wichita State to connect on 6 threes.