Betting on today's Maple Leafs and Bruins game? Catch the action at TD Garden in Boston, MA, as the Bruins hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ABC. This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Bruins are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Maple Leafs.


The Pick: Boston Bruins -1.5

This game will be played at TD Garden at 8:00 ET on Saturday, May 4th.


  • Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Maple Leafs.
  • We like the Maple Leafs on the moneyline (+119)
  • The Maple Leafs are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Is a Road Win Possible for the Maple Leafs?

Heading into tonight's game, the Maple Leafs have an overall record of 46-26-10 and sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone just 3-7 and has dropped two straight games. On the road this year, the Leafs are 24-11-6.

When playing against other teams from the Eastern Conference, Toronto has gone 22-28 this season. As the underdog, the Maple Leafs have a record of 7-8-2 and have lost two straight games when not favored. Over their last five games, Toronto has gone 3-2 and 2-1 in their last three.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 32-50 against the puck line, including a mark of 18-23 on the road. Overall, Toronto has 27 wins by multiple goals compared to 19 one-goal victories.

Over their last ten games, the Leafs have gone just 3-7 against the puck line and 7-3 in their last ten road games. As the underdog, Toronto has gone 11-6 against the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin sits at +.5 goals per contest.

For the season, Toronto's games have finished with an average of 6.9 goals per game. Their average over/under line for the season is 6.5. Overall, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 45-35-2.

When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.

The Maple Leafs come into the game scoring an average of 3.6 goals per game, putting them 2nd in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 7th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 24-14 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 20-10 record.

Toronto's leading scorer is Auston Matthews. So far, he has 69 goals which is 1st in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Matthews has 38 assists this season.

Boston defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 10th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Boston. They also are 11th in shutouts, with 5 shutouts.

Heading into this matchup vs. Boston, goalie Joseph Woll has started 23 games in this season. His current record is 12-11, and his save percentage stands at 0.586%.

Can the Bruins Deliver Being Favored at Home?

At home this season, the Bruins have gone 24-11-6, and in games where they are favored, they have gone 38-18-11. In the Eastern Conference, Boston is in 4th place and 2nd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Bruins have gone 4-6, and they have lost their last two games.

This season, Boston has gone 47-20-15, and they have earned 109 points. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Bruins have gone 30-20, and in the 82 games they have played this year, they have scored 240 goals and given up 214. At home, Boston has lost two straight games.

At home this season, the Bruins have gone just 19-22 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.7 goals per game. So far, they have 31 wins by multiple goals and 15 losses by multiple goals.

Overall, Boston's puck line record is 39-43, and their puck line record as the favorite is 26-41. In their last ten games at home, the Bruins have gone just 2-8 vs. the puck line.

For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Boston is 6. The season's average over/under line is currently at 5.9. The Bruins come in with an over/under record of 37-44-1.

Across their last three road contests, Toronto has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 2 goals per game.

Offensively, the Bruins come into the game at 3.2 goals per contest placing 14th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 21st position in the league. The Bruins went 18-3 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 27-16.

Boston's current leading scorer is David Pastrnak. This season, he has 47 goals, which puts him 7th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 63 assists so far.

Defensively, the Bruins come into the season ranked 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Boston. For the season, they are ranked 11th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Jeremy Swayman has started 43 games this season. His current record stands at 25-10, and his save percentage is 0.776%.