Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24
First pitch for Sunday’s Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup is set for 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park in Seattle. The Blue Jays are 40-49 this season, and they are starting José Berrios. The Mariners have George Kirby on the mound and they are 1st in the AL West.
RSNW is carrying this game on TV, and they have the Mariners as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -158. The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS SEATTLE MARINERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +135
This game will be played at T-Mobile Park at 4:10 ET on Sunday, July 7th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS MARINERS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Toronto picked up a 5-4 road win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a two-run lead heading into the 8th inning, and the Mariners could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at -108 on the money line.
Yariel Rodríguez started for the Blue Jays and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Mariners, Emerson Hancock got the start and took the loss, giving up two earned runs in four innings of work.
Alejandro Kirk had a three-hit game for the Blue Jays, while George Springer scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/3. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 16 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 40-49 as they play on the road today vs. the Mariners. Toronto is 12-16 in AL East matchups this year.
As the favorite, the Blue Jays have gone 30-20 this year and just 10-29 as the underdog. They are 8-18 as the road underdog this season. The Blue Jays have an overall series record of 9-13-6 this year, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games overall.
Despite a losing run differential on the season, the Blue Jays have been a solid run line bet, going 41-48 overall. They have been particularly good on the road, where they are 26-18 on the run line. They have covered the run line in five straight road games and have been a good bet as the underdog, going 18-21 on the run line in those games.
The Toronto Blue Jays have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 42-44, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 12-9. Overall, 71.9% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, with an average line of 8 runs per game.
Toronto is sending José Berríos to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.63. Berríos has made 18 starts this year, and opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander. In his 18 appearances, Berríos has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 6.36 strikeouts per nine innings. One of the right-hander’s complete games came this year. Berríos most recently faced the Mariners on June 22nd, where he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work. He won his two starts before that outing.
Over the team’s last 10 games, George Springer has been on fire, going 13/29 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/36 in his last nine games, with three homers and 12 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also the team’s top power threat, as his 13 homers are 14th in the league.
Overall, the Blue Jays are 26th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are near the bottom of the league in home runs. However, they do strike out less than any other team in the league.
Mariners Records & Stats
Seattle holds a two-game lead over the Astros in the AL West as they are 49-42 overall this season. The Mariners have been really good against other teams in their division, going 17-5 so far. They are also 23-12 as the favorite at home this year.
The Mariners have dropped six of their last ten games overall, and they are 19-25 on the road this year. At home, Seattle is 30-17. So far, they are an even 13-13-2 in series this year, and they have lost five straight series.
Seattle is 41-50 on the run line this season, including 22-25 at home. The Mariners have an average run margin of +0.1 runs per game this season. They have been favored in 54 games this season and are 21-33 on the run line in those games.
The Seattle Mariners are playing at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Mariners have an over/under record of 10-15 when the line is set at 7.5 runs, and their games have averaged a combined 7.5 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for the Mariners this season is 37-49, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 8 runs.
Right-hander George Kirby gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. Kirby has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.32 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Kirby has a WHIP of .98 and has turned in 11 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging just 0.85 walks compared to 8.6 strikeouts. In his last outing, Kirby took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as he is batting just .201 but does have 15 home runs, which is 12th in the league. Raleigh also leads the team with 51 RBIs. However, he has gone just 7/35 in his last 10 games. Julio Rodriguez is 2nd on the team with eight homers and is batting .247 overall.
Seattle’s offense has struggled this season, as they are 27th in the league at 3.8 runs per game. Not only do they have the worst team batting average in the league, but they are also dead last in strikeouts. Overall, the Mariners are 11th in home runs, but their slugging percentage and OPS are both near the bottom of the league.