Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 7/7/24

At 7:10 PM ET, the Red Sox and Yankees will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Yankee Stadium in New York, and the Yankees are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -154. The money line odds for a Red Sox win are at +131, and the over/under line is at 8.5 runs.

Boston comes in with a record of 48-40, while the Yankees are 55-36 overall. Luis Gil will start for the Yankees, while the Red Sox are sending Kutter Crawford to the mound. This game will be televised on ESPN.

NEW YORK YANKEES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -154

This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:10 ET on Sunday, July 7th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS YANKEES:

• We have the Yankees winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring seven of their fourteen runs. As for the Red Sox, they scored their final run in the 5th and were held in check the rest of the game.

Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up four runs and striking out eight. He picked up a win in the game, while Tim Hill got the win out of the bullpen. Josh Winckowski only went 3 2/3 innings for the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs on five hits.

Ben Rice hit three home runs for the Yankees and drove in seven runs. He was the only player in the game to have more than two hits. Rafael Devers hit a home run for the Red Sox and drove in two runs.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 48-40 overall and is 7.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the AL East standings. The Red Sox’ AL East record is 12-11 heading into today’s game at the Yankees, and they are 15-14 as the road underdog this season.

At home, the Red Sox are 20-23 this season, and they have gone 28-17 on the road, which includes having won three straight series on the road. As the favorite, Boston is 26-18 this season, and they are 22-22 as the underdog overall. The Red Sox are also 13-10-5 in series this year.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 26-19, covering the run line in 57.8% of their games. Their average run differential in road games is +1.3 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 41-47, covering the run line in 46.6% of their games. Their average run differential for the season is +0.4 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line for the game between the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs. The Red Sox have had a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 43-39. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 16-11. Overall, 27.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, with the average line for their games being set at 8 runs.

Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Yankees on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 4-7 with a 3.47 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Crawford has a WHIP of 1.10 and opponents are batting .217 this season. In his last outing, Crawford gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Crawford has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings.

For the season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is the 7th best mark in the league. Boston also has the top BABIP in the league and are 7th in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Rafael Devers has been the Red Sox’s top power threat this season, as his 19 home runs are the best on the team and 8th in the league. He is also 15th in the league with 53 RBIs. Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/30 in his last eight games with three homers and 11 RBIs. Jarren Duran has also homered three times in his last eight games but is batting just .189 in that stretch.

Yankees Records & Stats

The Yankees are 55-36 overall this year, putting them 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Orioles for the division lead. They are 13-15 in divisional matchups and have gone just 3-7 over their last 10 games. At home, the Yankees are 25-18 and have gone 30-18 on the road.

So far, the Yankees have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 43-30. As the underdog, they are 12-6 this season. New York has an overall series record of 17-8-3, but they have dropped four straight series at home.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.1 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 49-42, and they are 21-22 at home and 28-20 on the road. As the favorite, they are 35-38 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 14-4.

When the Yankees are at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Yankees games is 48-40, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 24-15. This season, 22.0% of Yankees games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, while 35.2% of their games have had lines set lower than that.

Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today vs. the Red Sox and comes into the game with a record of 9-4 and an ERA of 3.41. This year, he has made 17 starts, seven of which were quality starts. Per nine innings, Gil is averaging 10.24 strikeouts and 4.82 walks. Looking back at his last three outings, Gil has taken the loss in each. His most recent outing came vs. the Reds, where he gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Against the Mets and Orioles, he gave up at least four earned runs in each outing. The right-hander’s last win came on June 14th vs. the Red Sox.

Not only are the Yankees the league’s top home run hitting team, but they are also 2nd in the league in runs scored at 5.1 runs per game. The Yankees have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 8th in the league, and have the best walk rate in the MLB.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 32 homers and Soto’s 21 homers being 6th in the league. Judge has also been hot of late, going 12/36 in his last nine games with two homers.