Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 5/26/24
Casey Mize and the Tigers will look to keep their two-game winning streak alive on Sunday, but they are facing a Blue Jays club that is favored on the money line (-130). The money line odds for a Tigers win are sitting at +111. This game will get started at 11:35 AM ET from Comerica Park in Detroit, and the over/under line is at 8 runs.
BSDET is carrying Sunday’s TV coverage, and they will be looking for another win against a Blue Jays club that is 23-28. Toronto is 5th in the AL East, and today’s starter is Yusei Kikuchi.
DETROIT TIGERS VS TORONTO BLUE JAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Tigers Moneyline +111
This game will be played at Comerica Park at 11:35 ET on Sunday, May 26th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS TIGERS:
- We have the Tigers winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Tigers to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Detroit picked up a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had a two-run first inning and didn’t score another run until the 7th, while the Blue Jays got on the board with one run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Tigers were favored at -116 on the money line.
Reese Olson started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just four strikeouts and allowed three hits. Tyler Holton got the save. Jose Berrios had a good outing for the Blue Jays in the loss, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on seven hits.
Kerry Carpenter and Mark Canha each homered for the Tigers, while Gio Urshela scored twice and drove in a run while going 2/3. Jake Rogers also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and are 23-28 overall. The Blue Jays have lost two straight games, and they are losing the series vs. the Tigers 1-2. So far, they have gone 7-8 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Blue Jays are 12-12 this year and 11-16 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 17-14 and 6-14 as the underdog. The Blue Jays’ overall series record is 5-8-3 heading into today’s game.
On the road this season, the Blue Jays have been a solid bet against the run line, going 14-13. They have an average run margin of -0.9 on the road, and their overall run line record is 24-27. They have covered the run line in their last three games, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.3.
The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road today to face the Detroit Tigers. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs, which is right around the Blue Jays’ season average of 8.3 runs per game. Toronto has an over/under record of 21-29 on the season, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they have gone 6-7-1. Their last two games have gone under the total.
Left-hander Yusei Kikuchi gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Tigers on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-4 with an ERA of 2.64. Kikuchi’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. The last time he pitched, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that outing, he had turned in a quality start in six straight appearances. So far, Kikuchi has allowed four homers at home and none on the road.
Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays are 26th in the league in runs scored, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. They have been slightly better at home, putting up 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Blue Jays are batting just .232, which is 17th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.
Over his last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 12/34 and is currently on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, he is batting .289 with five homers. Daulton Varsho has also gone deep nine times this season but is batting just .208 and has gone 6/29 in his last eight games.
Tigers Records & Stats
Detroit is 25-27 overall and trails the Guardians by 10 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays and are 4-6 over their last 10 games. So far, they have gone 10-9 in divisional matchups.
At home, the Tigers are 12-14 this year and have gone 13-13 on the road. As the underdog, Detroit is 12-15 this year compared to a mark of 13-12 as the favorite. Looking at their overall series record, the Tigers are 7-7-2 and have dropped two straight series at home.
When the Tigers win, they win big. Their average run margin in victories is +3.3, but in losses, they lose by an average of -3.2 runs. They have a run line record of 22-30, but they are 15-11 against the run line on the road. They are 7-19 against the run line at home and have a run line record of 5-20 as the favorite.
The Detroit Tigers are at home against the Toronto Blue Jays today, and the over/under line is set at 8 runs. The Tigers’ games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-23. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-7-2. Overall, 32.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Through nine starts, Casey Mize has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 4.57 for the Tigers. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up six earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of work. In that start vs. the Royals, he gave up two homers. Mize has given up at least one homer in each of his last three starts. Looking back over his last four outings, he has taken the loss in three of them. Mize’s ERA at home is 2.78 compared to 10.13 on the road.
Over the past nine games, Kerry Carpenter has been swinging a hot bat for the Tigers, going 9/26 with three homers and 11 RBIs. Carpenter comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .285, and his eight home runs this season is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Riley Greene is also a player to watch, as he has gone deep nine times this season and is batting .230.
As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they are near the bottom of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Detroit’s offense has been better on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest.