Miami Marlins vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 5/25/24

At 10:10 PM ET, the Marlins and Diamondbacks will face off in an NL matchup. This one is being played at Chase Field in Phoenix, and the Diamondbacks are the heavy favorite on the money line at -180. The Marlins are +152 and have a two-game winning streak.
Miami comes into the game with a record of 18-34, while the Diamondbacks are 24-27 overall. Jordan Montgomery will start for the Diamondbacks, while the Marlins are sending Sixto Sanchez to the mound. This game will be televised on BSFL.
ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS VS MIAMI MARLINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks Moneyline -180
This game will be played at Chase Field at 10:10 ET on Saturday, May 25th.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS DIAMONDBACKS:
- We have the Diamondbacks winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Diamondbacks to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Miami picked up a 3-0 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense only had one more hit than the Diamondbacks and struck out five times as much, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +161 on the money line.
This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Braxton Garrett for the Marlins and Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Garrett went nine innings and didn’t give up a run as he picked up a win in the game. On the other side, Gallen gave up three earned runs in seven innings of work.
Miami’s two and three hitters, Jake Burger and Otto Lopez, each had two hits and two RBIs in the win. Blaze Alexander was the only Diamondbacks hitter to have more than one hit.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 18-34 overall this season, and they are 19.0 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. The Marlins have gone just 4-12 in divisional games this year. Miami has won two straight games, and they are coming off of taking the series vs. the Mets.
At home, the Marlins are just 10-19 this year. On the road, Miami is 8-15 while having lost three straight road games. So far, they have been the underdog in 38 games, and they are 15-23 in those games. As for their record as the favorite, the Marlins are just 3-11.
The Miami Marlins have been a profitable run line team on the road, going 11-12 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight road games, and they are 19-19 against the run line as an underdog. Miami’s average run differential is -1.5 runs per game, and they have been outscored by an average of 1.3 runs per game on the road.
The Miami Marlins are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. The Marlins have had a combined run average of 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 30-22. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game, and when the line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-4. Only 3.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 2 games.
Sixto Sánchez gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 12 appearances this year and comes in with a record of 0-2 and ERA of 6.41. Sánchez has made five starts and has yet to pick up a win this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Looking back at his last four outings, Sánchez has finished with a no-decision in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .293 off the right-hander this season.
So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, putting up just 3.3 runs per contest. Miami’s offense has been a little better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per game. As a team, the Marlins are batting just .232, and they have the worst team on-base percentage in the league.
Josh Bell is the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as he has six home runs and 26 RBIs, but he is batting just .228. Bryan De La Cruz and Jazz Chisholm Jr. are 1-2 on the team’s home run leaderboard, and De La Cruz has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/29 in his last eight games.
Diamondbacks Records & Stats
Arizona is 24-27 overall and is 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by eight games. So far, they are 11-9 in divisional games. The Diamondbacks dropped the first game of their series vs. the Marlins and are 6-9-1 in series this year.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 12-14 this year compared to 12-13 on the road. As the favorite, Arizona has gone 12-11 and 12-16 as the underdog. Their overall mark is 5-5 across their last ten games played.
Arizona has been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 14-11, but not so much at home, where they are just 10-16. Their average run margin in all games is just +0.1, and they have been outscored by an average of 0.8 runs per game at home. They have been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 16-12, compared to just 8-15 as the favorite.
Arizona has played in 56 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 11 of them. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record is 23-26. When the line has been set at 9 runs, their over/under record is 4-5-1. Their games have gone under the line in 30 games, and their under streak is at 2 games.
Left-hander Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 4.98. Montgomery’s WHIP for the season is 1.37, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three outings, Montgomery has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has allowed at least two homers in three of his last four starts.
Arizona’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been a good home run hitting team so far, but their team batting average of .245 is just 9th in the league.
Arizona’s offense is led by Ketel Marte and Christian Walker, who are both tied for the team lead with 10 home runs. Walker is also 13th in the league with 32 RBIs. Walker is coming off a stretch in which he hit just .222 over his last 10 games, but he did hit three homers during that stretch. Joc Pederson has been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games.