Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24

There are 10 games on the MLB schedule for Wednesday, and one of them is an AL East matchup between the Blue Jays and Orioles. This one gets started at 12:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are 1st in the AL East with a record of 64-44, while the Blue Jays are 5th in the division at 50-58.

Grayson Rodriguez will start for the Orioles, and he is facing off against a Blue Jays team that has Paolo Espino on the mound on Wednesday. Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -242. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs, and the game can be seen on MASN.

TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 9 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 12:35 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.

HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over

The Orioles cruised to a 6-2 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. Baltimore had a huge 3rd inning, scoring all six of their runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -212 on the money line.

Corbin Burnes started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Chris Bassitt got the start for the Blue Jays and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work.

Ramón Urías and Anthony Santander each homered for the Orioles, while Colton Cowser scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/5. Ryan O’Hearn also had a two RBI game at the plate.

Blue Jays Records & Stats

Toronto is 50-58 overall and 14 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they have gone just 14-20 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays are looking to pick up a win today, as they are on the road and trail the Orioles 2-1 in the series.

As the road underdog, the Blue Jays are 13-23 this season, and they are 17-34 as the underdog overall. They have been better as the favorite, putting together a mark of 33-24 this year. Toronto has gone 24-30 on the road compared to 26-28 at home.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.1 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 51-57, with a slightly negative run differential of -0.7 runs per game. They have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 33-21, compared to 18-36 at home.

The Toronto Blue Jays are on the road against the Baltimore Orioles today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is right at the combined run average for Blue Jays games this season. Toronto’s O/U record for the season is 58-47, and the average O/U line for their games is 8 runs. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-2. Only 2.8% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Paolo Espino is getting the start for the Blue Jays today on the road against the Orioles. This will be his first start of the season, as he has made two appearances out of the bullpen. In his most recent outing, he went 2 2/3 innings and gave up 4 runs on 6 hits.

Heading into today’s game, the Blue Jays offense is averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .240. However, they do have one of the league’s top on-base percentages and have been tough to strike out this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .312 with 21 homers and 69 RBIs. He is also on a 13-game hitting streak and has gone 18/35 in his last 10 games.

George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also near the top of the Blue Jays home run leaderboard, but they are hitting just .226 and .200, respectively. Springer has 41 RBIs this season, while Varsho has driven in 46 runs. Springer is also on a four-game hitting streak.

Orioles Records & Stats

The Orioles are 64-44 overall, putting them 1st in the AL East. Currently, they hold a half-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. Baltimore leads the AL East, and they have gone 22-10 against other teams in the division. The Orioles have taken two of three games in this series vs. the Blue Jays.

At home, the Orioles are 33-25 this year, and they have gone 31-19 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 52-35 this year, and they are 12-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 21-10-2, but they have dropped two straight series.

When the Orioles are at home, they have a run line record of 28-30, but when they are on the road, they are 30-20. Their average run differential for the season is +0.8 runs per game, but it is +1.2 runs per game on the road and +0.5 runs per game at home. They have a run line record of 43-44 as the favorite and 15-6 as the underdog.

The Orioles have played to a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-40. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 11-11-3. So far this season, only 3.7% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs, and their average O/U line for the season is 8 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. So far this season, he has made 19 starts and has a record of 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA. Rodriguez’s WHIP for the season is 1.23, and opponents are batting .237 off him this year. In his last outing, Rodriguez finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Rodriguez has a total of 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.92 strikeouts per nine innings.

As a team, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and have the league’s best isolated power figure. This has helped them to the 3rd best scoring offense in the league at 5 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .254, which is 6th in the league.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Santander’s 31 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 28 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Santander has gone 10/35 with four homers over his last nine games, while Colton Cowser has also been hot, going 13/34 with two homers in this stretch.