Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24
Wednesday’s interleague matchup between the Marlins and Rays gets started at 12:10 PM ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg. The Marlins are 39-68 this season, and they are starting Roddery Munoz. The Rays are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at -247, and they are starting Taj Bradley. Tampa Bay has won three straight and is 4th in the AL East, while the Marlins are 5th in the NL East.
The over/under line for this game is currently 7.5 runs, and it can be seen on BSSUN. The Rays have won three straight heading into the game, while the Marlins have lost two in a row.
MIAMI MARLINS VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at Tropicana Field at 12:10 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.
HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS RAYS:
- We have the Rays winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Marlins to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay cruised to a 9-3 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 6th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were favored at -177 on the money line.
Jeffrey Springs only went 3 2/3 innings for the Rays but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished with three strikeouts but issued one walk. Tyler Alexander came out of the bullpen for the win. As for the Marlins, Edward Cabrera went five innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits.
Jake Burger hit the game’s only home run while going 2/5 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Yandy Diaz and Ben Rortvedt each had two hits and two RBIs for the Rays’ offense.
Marlins Records & Stats
Miami is 26 games below .500 overall, and they are 5th in the NL East, 26 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. So far this season, they are just 9-21 in divisional matchups. The Marlins have dropped two straight games, and they are 17-34 on the road this year.
So far, the Marlins are 4-13 as the favorite and 35-55 as the underdog. Miami has an overall series record of 10-21-3, and they have won two straight series. Their two-game losing streak came as the underdog in each game.
When it comes to the run line, the Marlins have been a better bet as the underdog, going 48-42 overall. They are 25-26 on the run line on the road this season, and their average run margin in their wins is +2.7, while it’s -3.7 in their losses.
The Miami Marlins are on the road today, facing the Tampa Bay Rays, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Marlins games this season is 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 59-45. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 15-6. Overall, 72.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Roddery Muñoz gets the start for the Marlins today as he faces off against the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and has a record of 1-5 with an ERA of 5.61. Muñoz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.41. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back at his last three starts, Muñoz has allowed at least two homers in each outing. His ERA for the season is 6.85 at home compared to 5.07 on the road.
Josh Bell has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Marlins, going 12/34 in his last nine games with five homers and nine RBIs. Bryan De La Cruz has also been a solid run producer for the Marlins, as his 51 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is also 13th in the league with 18 homers. De La Cruz comes into the game with a batting average of .245.
As a team, the Marlins are 29th in the league in runs per game at just 3.6. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting just .237 and have the league’s worst team on-base percentage. Miami’s team slugging percentage of .364 is also near the bottom of the league.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are 55-52 overall and trail the Orioles by 8.5 games in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division, a half-game behind the Red Sox for 3rd place. Tampa Bay has won three straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games.
At home, the Rays are 30-28 this season and 25-24 on the road. As the favorite, the Rays are 30-26 this year and 25-26 as the underdog. Tampa Bay has won two straight games as the favorite. So far, they have an overall series record of 19-12-3, and they have won two straight series.
The Rays have been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 53-54. They have been especially good on the road, going 29-20. They have covered the run line in five straight home games, but overall they are just 24-34 at home. Their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays are playing host to the Miami Marlins today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rays games this season is 8.4, and their over/under record is 51-51. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 16-15. So far this season, 70 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 65.4% of their games.
Taj Bradley gets the start for the Rays today and is coming off a great outing against the Blue Jays, where he didn’t give up a run in 6 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up just two hits and issued one walk. Bradley has made 14 starts this season and has a record of 6-4. His ERA is an impressive 2.43, along with a WHIP of 1.01. Opposing batters are hitting .188 this season off Bradley. The right-hander has made seven quality starts this year and is averaging 10.73 strikeouts per nine innings.
So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league. They have been slightly better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .234 and are also near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage and OPS.
Christopher Morel has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, with his 19 homers leading the team and being the 12th most in the league. However, he is batting just .199. Yandy Diaz is hitting .271 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 49 RBIs. Over his last five games, Brandon Lowe is 9/16 with a homer and five RBIs. This stretch has pushed his season average to .226.