New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 7/31/24
There does appear to be a chance of rain in Philadelphia on Wednesday, as the forecasted temperature is 75 degrees. The Yankees and Phillies will face off at 12:35 PM ET, and the game is being televised on MLBN.
Wednesday’s Yankees vs. Phillies money line odds have the Phillies favored at -133, while the Yankees are at +113. The over/under line is currently 9.5 runs, and the Phillies will be looking to end a three-game losing streak. New York has won four in a row and is 64-45 overall, while the Phillies are 65-42.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -133
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 12:35 ET on Wednesday, July 31st.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Yankees to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs Phillies series. New York went into the matchup as +124 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring three runs and picking up all seven of their hits. As for the Phillies, they scored one run in the 9th but couldn’t complete the comeback.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Aaron Judge each homered for the Yankees, while Anthony Volpe scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/5. Austin Hays had a two-home run performance for the Phillies.
Michael Tonkin got the win for the Yankees out of the bullpen, while Orion Kerkering took the loss for Philadelphia.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are on a four-game winning streak, and they are 64-45 overall this season. New York will be on the road today, taking on the Phillies. Currently, they trail the Orioles by just a half-game in the AL East. So far, they are 20-22 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Yankees are 27-23 this season and have gone 37-22 on the road. New York has been really good as the underdog this year, going 17-6, and they are 47-39 as the favorite. As the road underdog, the Yankees have gone 16-4 this season, and they have won four straight on the road overall.
When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 35-24. They have covered the run line in four straight road games and are 19-4 against the run line as an underdog. Their average run differential on the road is +1.6 runs per game, compared to +0.5 at home.
With a combined run average of 9.2, the New York Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games this season. Their over/under record is 59-46, and they have hit the over in seven of their last ten games. The over/under line for their game against the Philadelphia Phillies is set at 9.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 7-3. Their over streak is currently at six games.
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 4-9 with an ERA of 4.13. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work vs. the Red Sox. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Cortes has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings. Opponents are batting .252 off Cortes this year.
The Yankees come into today’s game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are the league’s top home run hitting team and also lead the league in on-base percentage and OPS. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 99 RBIs and 39 homers, while batting .319. Soto is hitting .309 and has 77 RBIs.
Over his last five games, Aaron Judge is 11/20 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/15 with four homers in his last three games. Judge is also on a five-game hitting streak, as are Alex Verdugo and Anthony Volpe.
Phillies Records & Stats
With an overall record of 65-42, the Phillies lead the NL East by 7.5 games over the Braves. The Phillies will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak today, as they have dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Yankees. In the division, they have gone 15-10 this year.
At home, the Phillies are 38-20 this year, and they are just over .500 at 27-22 on the road. Looking at how they have fared as the favorite, the Phillies are 57-34 this year and 8-8 as the underdog. So far, they have dropped four straight series and have an overall series record of 19-12-5.
The Phillies have a run line record of 28-30 at home this season, with an average run margin of 1.3 runs per game. They have a run line record of 53-54 overall, with an average run margin of 1.0 runs per game. Their run line record as the favorite is 45-46, and their run line record as the underdog is 8-8. Their run line losing streak at home is at three games.
Philadelphia is 3-6 in games with an over/under line of 9.5 this season, and the Phillies have gone over in two straight games. The team’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 48-54 overall. The average over/under line in Phillies games this season has been 8 runs, and only 5.6% of their games have had a higher line than today’s 9.5.
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He faced off against the Guardians in that July 26th outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Sánchez’s overall record for the season is 7-6, and he has an ERA of 3.05. Opposing batters are hitting .252 off the left-hander this season. Sánchez has made 20 appearances and 11 of them have been quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.12 strikeouts and 2.35 walks.
Coming into the game, the Phillies are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s best home run hitting teams and are also 5th in team batting average. As a team, the Phillies are also among the league leaders in on-base percentage and slugging.
Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/19 with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .245 with 22 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 9th in the league. Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm are also having good seasons, with Harper leading the team with 24 homers and Bohm leading the Phillies with 72 RBIs.