Toronto Blue Jays vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24
Chris Sale and the Braves will host the Blue Jays today, with the game getting started at 1:35 PM ET from Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. The forecast looks good for Sunday’s interleague matchup, with clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s.
Atlanta is the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -272 compared to the Blue Jays at +223. Toronto will be starting Yariel Rodriguez, and they are 5th in the AL East with a record of 68-75.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS ATLANTA BRAVES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline +223
This game will be played at Truist Park at 1:35 ET on Sunday, September 8th.
HOW TO BET THE BLUE JAYS VS BRAVES:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Blue Jays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Toronto cruised to a 9-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 9th inning, scoring three runs in the 1st and then adding six more in the top of the 9th. As for the Braves, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +138 on the money line.
The Blue Jays got to Braves starter Spencer Schwellenbach, who gave up three earned runs in just five innings of work and took the loss. As for the Blue Jays, they got a good outing from Jose Berrios, who gave up just one earned run across six innings of work and got the win.
Toronto’s offense was led by a big game from Spencer Horwitz, who went 4/5 with two homers and three RBIs. Both Will Wagner and Nathan Lukes each had three hits and two RBIs. Ernie Clement and Joey Loperfido each drove in two for the Blue Jays’ offense.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 68-75 overall, and they are 14.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Blue Jays are also two games behind the Rays for 4th place in the division. So far, they have gone just 20-26 in AL East matchups. The Blue Jays have lost two straight series and are 16-23-6 in series this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 34-35 this year, and they are just below .500 at 34-40 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 41-28 compared to 27-47 as the underdog. Their overall record has been hurt by going just 3-7 over their last ten games.
When the Blue Jays win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of -3.7 runs. Overall, they are 72-71 vs. the run line this season, but have been much better vs. the run line on the road, going 47-27. As the favorite, they are just 31-38 vs. the run line, while as the underdog, they are 41-33.
When the Toronto Blue Jays are on the road, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Blue Jays have played 108 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 75.5% of their games. Their games have had an average combined run total of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 75-65 overall. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 16-14.
Right-hander Yariel Rodríguez gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 1-6 with an ERA of 4.61. This season, opponents are batting .231 off Rodríguez, and his WHIP for the season is 1.38. In his 17 starts, he has turned in just two quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Rodríguez finished with a no-decision against the Twins. In that outing, he went three innings, giving up three hits, two walks, and no earned runs. Before that, he had allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
For the season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. This is also where they rank in terms of home runs, as they have gone deep 147 times this season. As a team, they are batting a collective .243, which is 11th in the league. One thing that has helped their offense is that they are 6th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .326 with 28 home runs and 94 RBIs. He is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 13/34 in his last eight games. Guerrero Jr. has also driven in seven runs over that stretch. George Springer has 19 homers this season but is batting just .219.
Braves Records & Stats
With an overall record of 77-65, the Braves are 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by eight games. Atlanta will host the Blue Jays today, and they are 39-30 at home this season. So far, they are 38-35 on the road. In the NL East, they have gone 23-21 in divisional matchups.
As the favorite, the Braves have put together a record of 65-49 this season, and they are 12-16 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 25-16-5, and they are 1-1-1 in their last two series.
The Braves have been a tough team to predict against the run line this season, as they have a record of 68-74. They have been slightly better on the road, going 39-34, compared to 29-40 at home. When they win, they win by an average of 3.6 runs, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.2 runs.
The Braves are at home today against the Blue Jays, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Atlanta has played to an average of 8.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 52-85. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, they have gone 11-18 on the year. Overall, 73.2% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5-run total.
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and is coming off a dominant outing against the Rockies. In that September 3rd start, he went seven innings, didn’t give up a run, and picked up the win. Looking at his overall numbers, Sale has made 26 starts, and his record is 16-3. Sale’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.46, and he has a WHIP of 1.01. Opposing batters are hitting .212 off the left-hander this season. Sale has made 16 quality starts and is averaging 11.54 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has 206 strikeouts, which ranks second in the league.
For the season, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offense on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .241, which is 13th in the league, and are 5th in the league in home runs. Atlanta’s team on-base percentage is just 17th in the league.
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, batting .307 with 37 home runs and 98 RBIs. He is also on a six-game hitting streak. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers but has a batting average of just .232. Over his last four games, Jarred Kelenic has gone 4/13 with a home run and four RBIs.