Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 9/8/24
Corbin Burnes and the Orioles (82-61) will host the Rays (70-72) on Sunday, with the game getting started at 12:05 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, while the Rays are 4th in the division.
Baltimore is the heavy favorite on the money line, with odds of -202 compared to the Rays at +168. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs. Zack Littell is slated to start for the Rays.
TAMPA BAY RAYS VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK
The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 12:05 ET on Sunday, September 8th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Orioles to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 10 runs and like the over
Tampa Bay cruised to a 7-1 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +148 on the money line.
Ryan Pepiot got the win for the Rays, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Zach Eflin had a rough outing for the Orioles, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
Yandy Diaz and Taylor Walls each homered for the Rays, while Jonny DeLuca scored twice and drove in two runs while going 3/5. Cedric Mullins hit the game’s only other home run for the Orioles.
Rays Records & Stats
Tampa Bay is 70-72 overall and 12 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. Currently, they are 4th in the division and have gone 18-24 against other AL East teams. The Rays will be on the road today vs. the Orioles, and they are 1 game below .500 at home (37-38) and on the road (33-34).
As the road underdog, the Rays have gone 22-23 this year, and they are 35-30 as the favorite. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 21-17-6, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.
When the Rays are on the road, they have a run line record of 38-29, which is significantly better than their run line record at home (34-41). They have an average run margin of -0.4 runs per game overall, and their average run margin in winning games is +2.8 runs per game, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.5 runs per game.
The Rays are on the road today against the Orioles, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Rays have played in 81 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 57.0% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 64-70 overall.
Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Zack Littell to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 5-9 with an ERA of 4.04. Littell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.35. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work vs. the Twins. Before that, he had pitched well, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up just one earned run vs. the Astros. Littell has allowed at least one homer in three of his last four outings.
Yandy Diaz has been swinging a hot bat for the Rays of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games with three homers. For the season, he is batting .279 with a team-high 64 RBIs and 14 homers. Christopher Morel comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak but is batting just .197 for the season. However, he does have 21 homers, which is the top mark on the team.
As a team, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and team batting average. Overall, they have been a bad offensive team at home and on the road this season.
Orioles Records & Stats
Baltimore is 82-61 overall and is just a half-game behind the Yankees for the AL East lead. The Orioles are 29-16 in AL East games and will take on the Rays today at home. So far, they are 42-32 at home and have gone 40-29 on the road.
So far, the Orioles have been favored in 113 of their games, and they have gone 67-46 in those games. As the underdog, Baltimore has gone 15-15 this year. The Orioles have an overall series record of 24-13-7, and they have won two straight series.
When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 78-65, and they are 42-27 against the run line on the road. As the underdog, they are 21-9 against the run line.
The Orioles have played in high-scoring games this season, with a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 77-55, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-7. Overall, 79.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays at home. Burnes has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 13-7 with a 3.19 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Burnes has a WHIP of 1.13 and opponents are batting .217 this season. In his last outing, Burnes picked up the win, going five innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Burnes has given up at least two homers in three of his last four outings.
So far this season, the Orioles have been one of the league’s top offenses, as they are 4th in runs per game and have the league’s 2nd best home run total. As a team, they are batting .251, which is the 6th best mark in the league. Baltimore is also leading the league in isolated power (.190) and slugging percentage. Their team on-base percentage of .317 is 10th in the league.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Santander’s 39 homers leading the team and Henderson’s 36 homers being the 2nd most on the team and 6th in the league. Henderson has been especially hot of late, going 10/28 in his last seven games, with three homers and seven RBIs.