Toledo Rockets vs Northern Illinois Huskies Betting Pick & Prediction 10/19/24
ESPN+ will be covering this week eight matchup between the Toledo Rockets and the Northern Illinois Huskies. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium in Dekalb. The Huskies are the -2.5 point favorites at home, and both teams come in with a 4-2 record on the season. The over/under line is currently at 43.5 points.
TOLEDO ROCKETS VS NORTHERN ILLINOIS HUSKIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toledo Rockets +2.5
This game will be played at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 19th.
WHY BET THE TOLEDO ROCKETS:
- We have the Northern Illinois Huskies winning this one by a score of 22 to 20
- Even though we like the Northern Illinois Huskies to win, our ATS pick is to take the Toledo Rockets at +2.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43.5 points
Will The Toledo Rockets Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Toledo enters Week 8 with a 4-2 record, ranked 79th in our power rankings. They have a 98.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and a 19.3% shot at winning the Mid-American Conference. The Rockets are 2-0 at home and 1-2 on the road this season.
Toledo has been favored in four of their six games, going 2-2 as the favorite. Their average scoring margin is +11.3 points per game, and they are 2-3 against the spread this season.
The over/under line for this week is 43.5 points, the lowest they’ve faced this year. Toledo’s games have averaged 53.3 points, with an average over/under line of 51.6 points.
Toledo’s offense is averaging 32.3 points per game, placing them 32nd in the nation as they head into week 8. They are 75th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game has been the focal point, with 271.5 yards per game, ranking 33rd in the country. They are 34th in passing attempts and 27th in completions.
Quarterback Tucker Gleason has thrown for 1,325 yards, 13 touchdowns, and four interceptions, with a passer rating of 101. Toledo is 111th in rushing, averaging just 113.2 yards per game. Connor Walendzak leads the ground game with 189 yards. Jerjuan Newton has 517 receiving yards and seven touchdowns.
Toledo’s defense is ranked 33rd nationally, allowing 21 points per game. They’ve given up 234 passing yards per game (104th) and 113.7 rushing yards per game, which ranks 37th.
In their recent game against Buffalo, Toledo allowed 30 points and 369 total yards, including 242 rushing yards on 49 attempts.
Will The Northern Illinois Huskies Win At Home Over The Toledo Rockets?
Northern Illinois comes into Week 8 with a 4-2 record, ranked 80th in our power rankings. They have a 99% chance of becoming bowl-eligible and an 18.7% shot at winning the Mid-American. The Huskies are 2-1 on the road and 1-0 at home this season.
They’ve been favored in just one game, going 1-0 as the favorite, and have a +9.2 average scoring margin. Against the spread, Northern Illinois is 3-0-1, with a 3-0 record on the road and a 0-0-1 mark at home.
Their over/under record is 1-3, with an average line of 45 points. This week’s line is 43.5, and their average over/under margin is -6.6 points per game.
Heading into week 8, Northern Illinois ranks 86th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 26.3 points per game, which places them 58th nationally. Their strength lies in their run game, averaging 222.2 rushing yards per game on 45.3 attempts, ranking 18th and 8th, respectively, in those categories. They are also converting 48.4% of their third downs, ranking 19th in the nation.
Gavin Williams leads the team with 409 rushing yards, averaging 4 yards per carry and scoring one touchdown. Quarterback Ethan Hampton has thrown for 932 yards with eight touchdowns and four interceptions, posting a passer rating of 89. Northern Illinois ranks 107th in passing yards per game, averaging 181.3 yards.
Northern Illinois’ defense has been impressive this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 17.2 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to an average of 98.5 rushing yards per game, which ranks 19th in the country, and 157.2 passing yards, the 14th-lowest figure nationally.
In their recent game against Bowling Green, the defense gave up just 7 points, allowing 210 total yards. Bowling Green managed 112 rushing yards on 33 attempts and 98 passing yards, completing 10 of 23 passes. Northern Illinois also forced an interception in the game.