Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Betting Pick & Prediction 10/20/24
This article was published on Oct 15, 2024. Today’s picks NFL picks

The Bengals are the road favorite in their week seven matchup against the Browns. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland, is a big one for both teams. The Browns are +189 on the money line, while the Bengals are -231. Cincinnati is favored by -5 points, and the over/under line is set at 43 points. You can catch this one on CBS.
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS CLEVELAND BROWNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Browns +5
This game will be played at Huntington Bank Field at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND BROWNS:
- We have the Browns winning this one by a score of 25 to 16
- Not only do we have the Browns winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 43 points
Will The Bengals Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 7, the Bengals have a 35.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.5% chance of winning the AFC North. They are 14th in our NFL power rankings. Cincinnati is 2-4 this season, putting them 3rd in the division. They are 0-3 at home and 2-1 on the road. In week 6, they picked up a 17-7 win over the Giants, bouncing back from a week 5 loss to the Ravens. They also have a win over the Panthers in week 4.
Against the spread, the Bengals are 3-3, with a +0.8 scoring margin. They are 2-2 as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 4-2, with an average of 51.5 points in their games. The O/U line has been 45.8 on average.
Joe Burrow followed up his 392-yard, 5-touchdown performance in week 5 with 208 yards on 19 of 28 passing in week 6, posting a passer rating of 89. He avoided interceptions but was sacked 4 times. Burrow also led the Bengals in rushing, with 55 yards on 4 carries, including a touchdown. Tee Higgins led the receiving corps with 7 catches for 77 yards.
Heading into week 7, the Bengals rank 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 26.2. They are 12th in passing yards per game (349.8) and 9th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 26th in rushing yards per game and 27th in attempts. Cincinnati is 4th in the league in 3rd down conversions, with a 45.8% success rate.
In the Bengals’ 17-7 win over the Giants, their defense allowed just 190 passing yards on 53.7% completions. They also limited New York to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down and didn’t allow a passing touchdown. However, the Giants did find some success running the ball, gaining 119 yards on 31 attempts.
Cincinnati’s defense picked off one pass, recorded two sacks, and held the Giants to 4.6 yards per pass attempt. Despite these positive plays, the Bengals did lose the tackles for loss differential by a margin of -4.
Are The Browns Going Win In At Upset At Huntington Bank Field
The Browns are looking to snap a four-game losing streak as they host the Bengals in week 7. Cleveland’s record now stands at 1-5, with their only win coming in week 2 against the Jaguars. Since then, they’ve suffered losses to the Giants, Raiders, Commanders, and Eagles. In week 6, they fell to Philadelphia 20-16 but managed to cover the spread as 8.5-point underdogs.
Heading into week 7, the Browns rank 27th in our power rankings and have just a 2.7% chance of making the playoffs. Their average scoring margin this season is -7.7 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread. They are 0-3 ATS as favorites and 2-1 as underdogs. Cleveland’s O/U record is 2-4, with their games averaging 39.3 points.
Heading into week 7, the Browns are 32nd in our offensive power rankings. They rank 27th in the NFL in points per game (15.8) and are last in the league in total yards per game, averaging 240.2. Despite being 10th in passing attempts, they are 30th in passing yards per game, with 143. On the ground, Cleveland is 28th in rushing yards per game (97.2) on 22.7 attempts per contest.
Deshaun Watson posted a passer rating of 90 in week 6, throwing for 168 yards on 16/23 passing. However, he was sacked 5 times and did not throw a touchdown. Amari Cooper led the team with 42 receiving yards, while Pierre Strong Jr. had 43 rushing yards. Cleveland struggled on 3rd down, converting just 3 of 12 attempts, and failed to score in their only red zone trip.
In their 20-16 loss to the Eagles, the Browns’ defense allowed 256 passing yards and two touchdowns. Philadelphia managed 372 total yards, with Cleveland giving up 116 rushing yards on 36 attempts. The Browns’ defense allowed the Eagles to convert on 35.7% of their third down attempts and they had one sack in the game.
