The Bobcats and Ragin' Cajuns are set to face off at 1:00 ET on ESPN+. The Ragin' Cajuns will host the game at Cajundome in Lafayette, LA. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 142.5 points, and Louisiana-Lafayette is favored to win by -8 at home vs. Texas State.

TEXAS STATE BOBCATS VS LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN' CAJUNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +8

This game will be played at Cajundome at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 28th.

WHY BET THE TEXAS STATE BOBCATS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Ragin' Cajuns.
  • Even though we have Louisiana-Lafayette winning straight-up, we like Texas State at +8.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 142.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.

Do the Bobcats Have a Shot at a Road Win?

After losing their last three games, Texas State's record stands at 7-13. In Sun Belt action, they have gone just 1-7 compared to 6-6 in non-conference games. On the road, the Bobcats have struggled, going 4-7, with an average scoring margin of -8.0 points per game.

As an underdog this season, Texas State has gone 2-10, and they enter this game as 8-point underdogs. In their last outing, they fell to Troy by a score of 78-65. Over their past 10 road games, the Bobcats have gone 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Texas State has a 4-8 record vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-5, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread. However, the Bobcats have not fared well in their last three games as the underdog, going 0-3 ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Texas State games is 9-9, and today's over/under line of 142.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (137.8). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points, and during their last five games, the over/under record is 4-1.

In their most recent game, the Texas State offense concluded with only 65 points against Troy. Throughout the game, they made 5/17 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 41.5%. The top scorer for the Bobcats was Dylan Dawson with 12 points, while Brandon Love also chipped in with 9 points.

The Bobcats' defense is presently ranked 173rd nationally, allowing an average of 72.3 points per contest. Texas State's defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Troy offense to knock down 54% of their shots on their way to putting up 78 points.

Can the Ragin' Cajuns Offense Score Enough at Home?

After winning their last five games, the Ragin' Cajuns enter tonight's contest with a 12-8 record. At home, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 6-1 this season, and they have won nine of their last ten games at home.

So far, the Ragin' Cajuns have been favored in seven games, going 6-1 in those contests. As the favorite, they have outscored opponents by an average of +6.6 points per game.

As the favorite this season, the Ragin' Cajuns have gone 4-3 vs. the spread, and they have a 6-4 record vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, Louisiana-Lafayette has an ATS mark of 4-3 this year and a 5-3 ATS record in their last 10 home games.

Today's over/under line of 142.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Louisiana-Lafayette's games this season (150.4). Currently, their over/under record is 11-8. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 159 points compared to their season average of 151.8 points per game.

The Louisiana-Lafayette offense is coming off a game where they scored 81 points against Arkansas State. They posted a field goal percentage of 48.1% and connected on 5 threes. Kobe Julien is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 18.1 as they approach today's matchup. In addition, Joe Charles brings a PPG average of 11 into the game.

In terms of defense, Louisiana-Lafayette is currently on par with the NCAA average for points allowed, giving up an average of 72.6 points per game. In their previous game vs. Arkansas State, the Red Wolves finished with a field goal percentage of 48% and a total of 75 points vs. Louisiana-Lafayette.