Looking to win big? The Bobcats and Cougars face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Cougars are hosting the game at Fertitta Center in Houston, TX. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 125.5 points, and the Cougars are favored to win at home against the Bobcats.


The Pick: Texas State Bobcats +27

This game will be played at Fertitta Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, December 21st.


  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-65 in favor of the Cougars.
  • Even though we have Houston winning straight-up, we like Texas State at +27.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 125.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Texas State Have A Chance at Fertitta Center?

After a 73-60 victory over Sam Houston State in their previous game, Texas State's overall record now stands at 6-5. In their last ten road games, including those from last year, Texas State has a road record of 6-4. Texas State has a winning record against the spread, sitting above .500 at 5-4. In their last ten games, Texas State has been even better, going 3-0 ATS.

In 11 games, Texas State comes in with an over/under mark of 4-5-0, with their games averaging 134.8 points per game. Over the course of the last five games, the Bobcats' games have averaged 149 points per game, along with an over/under record of 1-2.

The Bobcats' offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 73 points per contest. Leading the team in scoring is Brandon Love, who is averaging 12.2 heading into today's matchup. Additionally, Dylan Dawson also maintains a PPG average of 10.5 heading into game.

So far, the Bobcats' defense is ranked 119th in the country at 69.3 points per contest. So far, the Texas State defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.7 times per game (605th).

Can the Houston Offense Score Enough at Home?

Houston has a perfect 11-0 overall record heading into their 12th game of the season. Out of their first 11 games, Houston has played three on the road and five at home. Against the spread, Houston has a current record of 4-4. In their previous five games, they are 2-3 ATS.

Looking at their over/under performance through 11 games, Houston has an over/under record of 2-6-0, with their games averaging 128.1 points per game on average. The Cougars' last five games have finished with a combined 127 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

The Houston offense is coming off a game where they scored 70 points against Texas A&M. They posted a field goal percentage of 42.6% and connected on 11 threes. The top scorer for the Cougars was Emanuel Sharp with 21 points, while LJ Cryer also added 17 to the scoreboard.

At present, the Cougars' defense is nationally ranked 1st, allowing 49.7 points per game. So far, the Houston defense is giving up an average of 7.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.7 times per game (309th).