Texas A&M Aggies vs UCF Knights NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/4/24
Planning on watching today’s Aggies and Knights game? Catch the action at Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL, as the Knights hosts this showdown at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. In this non-conference matchup, Texas A&M is favored by -4 against UCF. The over/under for the game is 144 points.
TEXAS A&M AGGIES VS UCF KNIGHTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UCF Knights +4
This game will be played at Addition Financial Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, November 4th.
WHY BET THE UCF KNIGHTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 79-66 in favor of the Knights.
- Not only will UCF pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +4.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 144 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can the Aggies Live Up to the Hype on the Road?
Texas A&M Aggies Records
Texas A&M finished last season with a 20-14 overall record, going 11-10 in SEC play. At home, they posted a 12-6 mark, winning by an average of 7.5 points per game. On the road, they were .500 at 8-8.
Against the spread, the Aggies went 15-19, and they were 21-13 in over/unders, with their games averaging 145.6 points. As the favorite, they were 15-8 straight-up but just 10-13 ATS.
Texas A&M averaged 74.8 points per game last season, but their offensive efficiency was hampered by a 39% field goal percentage, ranking 385th nationally. Their effective field goal percentage was 45%, placing them 389th. The Aggies attempted 24.2 three-pointers per game, making 6.9, but their 28% three-point shooting ranked 398th. They were 18th in free throws made per game, averaging 17.2.
Wade Taylor IV returns after averaging 18.9 points, 4 assists, and 3.4 rebounds per game last season. Zhuric Phelps, who averaged 14.7 points, 2.7 assists, and 4 rebounds, also returns, giving the Aggies a strong backcourt duo.
Last season, Texas A&M allowed 70.8 points per game, ranking 132nd in the nation. Opponents shot 33.9% from three-point range against them, placing the Aggies 331st in that category. They also gave up 18.1 free throws per game, ranking 154th nationally.
Texas A&M averaged 7.1 steals per game, ranking 114th in the country, but they struggled with blocked shots, averaging just 2.9 per game, which was 273rd nationally.
Can UCF Pull Out the Win as Home Underdogs?
UCF Knights Records
UCF finished last season with a 17-15 overall record, including an 8-12 mark in Big 12 play. At home, they posted a 13-7 record, winning by an average of 10.6 points per game. On the road, the Knights went 4-8, with an average scoring margin of -6.9 points per game.
Against the spread, UCF also went 17-15, with an 11-9 record at home and a 6-6 mark on the road. They were favored in 16 games, going 12-4 straight-up and 9-7 ATS. As underdogs, they went 5-11 straight-up and 8-8 ATS. Their games averaged 139 points, and their over/under record was 17-14-1, with an average line of 138.8 points.
UCF averaged 71.5 points per game last season, ranking 171st in possessions per game at 67.4. The Knights struggled with shooting efficiency, finishing 343rd in field goal percentage (41%) and 351st in effective field goal percentage (47%). They made 6.8 three-pointers per game, shooting 32% from beyond the arc, which ranked 303rd nationally.
Jaylin Sellers and Darius Johnson return as UCF’s top offensive players. Sellers averaged 15.6 points per game last season, while Johnson contributed 15.2 points and 3.7 assists per game. Both players appeared in 32 games last year.
Last season, UCF allowed 67.5 points per game, ranking 59th in the nation. However, they struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot 32.6%, which ranked 242nd. UCF also gave up 21.3 free throws per game, placing them 278th in that category.
On the positive side, UCF averaged 8.7 steals per game, ranking 24th in the country. They also averaged 5.1 blocked shots per game, ranking 18th nationally.