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<p>The Braves and Dodgers are set to face off in an NL matchup at 7:20 PM ET at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. The forecast for Monday's game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-80s. Los Angeles is currently 1st in the NL West with an overall record of 88-61, while the Braves are 3rd in the NL East at 81-68.</p>

<p>Max Fried will be on the mound for the Braves, while the Dodgers are sending Yoshinobu Yamamoto to the mound. Los Angeles is the slight money line favorite, with their odds sitting at -112 compared to the Braves at -106. The over/under line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and SNLA will be televising Monday's game.</p><h3>ATLANTA BRAVES VS LOS ANGELES DODGERS BETTING PICK</h3><p>The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -106</p><p>This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Monday, September 16th.</p><h3>HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS BRAVES:</h3><ul><li>We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5</li><li>If you're looking for a run line pick, we also like the Braves to cover</li><li>As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over</li></ul><p>Los Angeles cruised to a 9-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 3rd inning, scoring seven of their nine runs. As for the Braves, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -113.</p>

<p>Walker Buehler started for the Dodgers and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves and took the loss, giving up one earned run in six innings of work.</p>

<p>Max Muncy and Tommy Edman each homered for the Dodgers, while Teoscar Hernandez went 1/4 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Shohei Ohtani also had a two-hit game at the plate.</p><h3>Dodgers Records & Stats</h3><p>Los Angeles is 88-61 overall this season, and they lead the NL West by 3.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road today, facing the Braves, and they are 40-34 on the road this season. At home, the Dodgers have gone 48-27.</p>

<p>This year, the Dodgers have really been good as the favorite, going 83-49, but they are just 5-12 as the underdog. Los Angeles' overall series record is 28-18-3, and they have gone just 4-6 across their last 10 games.</p><p>The Dodgers have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 74-75 overall. They are 38-37 against the run line at home and 36-38 on the road. They have an average run differential of +0.7 runs per game this season, and they have covered the run line in 67 of 132 games as the favorite.</p><p>The Dodgers are on the road in Atlanta today, where the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Dodgers games this season is 9.2 runs, and their over/under record is 81-65. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 14-9. Overall, 82.6% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.</p><p>Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with a 2.77 ERA. Yamamoto's WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. Out of his 15 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.62 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto's last outing came on September 10th, where he finished with a no-decision, going four innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He was excellent in that outing, recording eight strikeouts.</p><p>Shohei Ohtani has been a force at the plate for the Dodgers this season, as his 47 home runs are 2nd in the MLB and the most on the team. Ohtani is also 4th in the league with 106 RBIs. Overall, he is batting .290, which is 5th on the team. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat, as he has 29 homers this season, which is 11th in the league.</p>

<p>Los Angeles comes into the game with the 3rd best scoring offense in the league at 5 runs per game. They have been especially good at home, also averaging 5 runs per contest. The Dodgers are also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage.</p><h3>Braves Records & Stats</h3><p>With an overall record of 81-68, the Braves are nine games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Currently, they are 3rd in the division and trail the Mets by one game for the 2nd Wild Card spot. The Braves are 24-22 against other teams in the NL East this season.</p>

<p>At home, the Braves are 42-32 this year and have gone 39-36 on the road. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 68-51 and 13-17 as the underdog. Atlanta's overall series record is 26-17-6 this year.</p><p>When the Braves win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.7 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 71-78, with a run line record of 31-43 at home and 40-35 on the road. They have been the favorite in 119 games and the underdog in 30 games.</p><p>When the Braves play at home, the over/under line is set at an average of 8 runs per game, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season. Overall, their games have gone over the line 55 times and under 89 times. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over is 13-19 in their games. The over has hit in two straight games for the Braves.</p><p>Max Fried will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Nationals, as he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Before that, Fried had been pitching well, giving up a combined three earned runs in his previous two starts. Fried has a record of 9-9 this season and an ERA of 3.46. Looking at his home/away splits, Fried is 6-6 on the road with a 5.63 ERA compared to 3-3 at home with a 4.75 ERA. So far, he has made 26 starts, two of which were complete games, and one was a shutout.</p>
<p>Heading into today's game, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game. As a team, the Braves are batting .241, which is 15th in the league, and have the 6th most home runs in the league. Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson come into the game as the team's top home run threats, with Ozuna leading the team in batting average at .304.</p>

<p>Over their last nine games, Matt Olson has gone 12/33, and Michael Harris II has gone 9/41. Olson has also driven in nine runs over this stretch. Olson also comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak, while Jorge Soler has a five-game streak going and Ronald Acuna Jr. has a four-game streak.</p>

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 9/16/24

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It doesn't really matter much to me who has more career touchdown passes, so I won't be discussing this as part of a game analysis. But you'll certainly be hearing enough about it from the guys on NBC, as Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play host to Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints, in a game that takes place at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.
<h3><strong>NEW ORLEANS SAINTS at TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS, 8:20 PM ET (NBC)</strong></h3>
<h4><strong><a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betanysports">BetAnySports</a> Sunday Night NFL Odds: Bucs -4, Total 50.5</strong></h4>
The who-has-more-TD's thing is a "who cares" issue for us, but maybe who cares are the two quarterbacks. Who knows. It seems like a long time ago that Brady was a little shaky behind center, throwing a pair of interceptions and getting sacked three times in the Superdome.

But things have changed since then, haven't they? You figured that Brady might get more comfortable with his people, and he has. Rob Gronkowski has become a bigger part of the situation, and Tampa Bay runs some formations with "12" personnel (two tight ends). Brady has not been picked off in his last four games, and since that opening game, he has a nifty ratio of 18 TD's to two INT's.

He does have an embarrassment of riches in terms of his receiver corps. And there is an addition to it this week. All we can say is, enjoy Antonio Brown before he finds trouble for himself again. Brown is off suspension and we don't think Brady is going to be the slightest bit shy about looking for him. Whether he is on the field for a lot of snaps is probably something coach Bruce Arians is going to play by ear.

One concern about the Bucs right now is that Ronald Jones may be hitting the wall. Jones had three straight games with more than 100 yards on the ground, but in his last two he's got just 57 yards on 20 carries. Fortunately, Tampa Bay has a guy like Leonard Fournette to pick up the slack. Will that be the call for them?

The Bucs can make a reasonable argument that they have the best defensive line in football at the moment, as they are #1 in Adjusted Line Yards in the running game (yielding just 3.2 ypc). New Orleans isn't bad in that department either (3.6 ypc). It's hard to say which team is going to be more dependent upon the run, although we know that Drew Brees is going to look for Alvin Kamara a lot out of the backfield.

And guess what? Michael Thomas, who had 149 catches last season, seems finally set to play, after a series of problems has kept him off the field.

Brees, as we know, short-arms the ball (just 5.5-yard average per throw beyond the line of scrimmage). But hey - that's what's worked for him through the years. New Orleans has won 13 of its last 16 on the road, and has covered six of its last seven as a dog, so you could look in their direction.

But Brady and Arians have to be licking their lips at one defensive metric for the Saints, which is that they are dead last in the red zone, allowing opponents to score touchdowns a whopping 83% of the time. You have to figure the Bucs can take advantage of some scoring opportunities.

Games like this often turn into shootouts, even if there is a slow first half. So we're more comfortable playing OVER the total than anything else.

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Sunday Night NFL Picks -- Saints-Bucs: Brady-Brees Duel on Tap....It's Good TV

There are only three games on the MLB card for Monday night. We were only supposed to have two, but the Marlins and Red Sox have a makeup game at Fenway Park. One of the other games, Royals vs. Angels, features the MLB debut of Jackson Kowar. So, with less uncertainty in the third game, that will be the one we focus on.

The Chicago Cubs just swept the San Diego Padres at Wrigley Field, so let’s see what they can do at Petco Park as the Cubs and Padres kick off a weekday series with this Monday night matchup with a 10:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Adbert Alzolay and Ryan Weathers are the listed starters and the Padres are a growing favorite now up into the -130 range at <strong><a href="http://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/bovada/">Bovada Sportsbook</a></strong> with a total of 7.5.
<h2><strong><u>Chicago Cubs</u></strong></h2>
The Cubs were able to salvage Sunday’s series finale against the Giants to avoid a sweep, but it was not a good look over the first three games. The Cubs are a pretty big regression candidate on the pitching side right now, as they rank second in baseball in LOB%, a metric at FanGraphs to describe the percentage of runners stranded on the bases. Their bullpen also ranks in the top five, which has been able to cover up what is the true talent level of that unit.

That’s not to say that the Cubs are a bad team. They rank above average offensively and have three key impending free agents in Kris Bryant, Javier Baez, and Anthony Rizzo that are looking to get big pay days at the end of the season. Studies have shown that impending FA are likelier to overshoot their career numbers with an increased level of focus.

So, the offense isn’t the concern or the worry here. The offense is good enough to be a borderline top-10 group, but the sustainability of Chicago’s pitching is what is under the microscope. It was huge for the Cubs to get another decent effort out of Kyle Hendricks on Sunday, as he tries to dig out of a big hole he put himself in earlier this season.

Adbert Alzolay has been a huge part of what the Cubs have done this season. The 26-year-old Alzolay has a 3.62 ERA with a 3.93 FIP in his 54.2 innings of work. The long ball has been his Achilles heel with nine of those over 10 starts. Otherwise, he’s running a 58/11 K/BB ratio, has only allowed 39 hits in his 54.2 innings, and has a strong 12% SwStr%.

Alzolay has allowed a good amount of hard contact with a Hard Hit% of 40.4% that makes the sustainability of a .227 BABIP a point of contention in this start and a lot of his starts going forward.
<h2><strong><u>San Diego Padres</u></strong></h2>
If we want to talk about sustainability questions, though, then Ryan Weathers is pretty much at the forefront of that discussion. Weathers has a 2.06 ERA, which is excellent, but when you dig a little bit deeper, you start to question how long it can last. Weathers has a 5.28 xERA with a 4.31 FIP and a 4.47 xFIP. He’s got a .210 BABIP against and a 93.9% LOB%. For frame of reference, the league average LOB% is 72.2%. So, Weathers is dramatically overachieving in that department and it is an important one because runners stranded on base are runners that do not score.

Weathers did allow four runs on seven hits, including a couple of homers, in his most recent start against the Cubs. The 21-year-old has a 46.4% Hard Hit% against, too, so that would be a really big concern regarding his .210 BABIP. There are a lot of signs pointing in a negative direction for him.

The Padres offense continues to disappoint, despite a ridiculous amount of talent. San Diego is 16th in wOBA now at .305. Contact quality really hasn’t been an issue, but a poor set of results have led to a .279 BABIP. The Padres have walked over 10% of the time, but haven’t really been able to parlay that into much offensive success.

The Padres are underachieving based on their wOBA-xwOBA numbers, which is a measure of actual wOBA and Expected wOBA, which incorporates a lot of contact quality metrics, but they are only -.010 in that department. That is surprising because the Padres are last in batting average on batted balls of 95+ mph at .451, but second in raw number of them. They’ve made a lot of hard contact, but haven’t had nearly enough to show for it.
<h2><strong><u>Cubs vs. Padres Free Pick</u></strong></h2>
The total moving up on this game makes a lot of sense and over 7.5 will be the pick here. Alzolay and Weathers are both in line for a bit of negative regression. The Padres make a lot of hard contact, but haven’t had enough to show for it. The Cubs are a laggard in their results on high-velocity contact as well. We should see some runs tonight.

<strong>Pick: Over 7.5</strong>

Cubs vs. Padres Free Pick & Prediction - 06/07-21

<p>The Cinch Championships, also known as the Queen's Club Championship, is one of two ATP 500 grass court tournaments taking place this week and one of the few grass court events leading up to Wimbledon, which begins on July 1. The tournament began with three of the top-10 ranked players in the world, including Carlos Alcaraz, but all three were ousted by the third round. Here's a quick recap of the action thus far and a look ahead to this weekend's potential <a href="https://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betdsi" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">betting</a> matchups.</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Early Round Recap</h2>



<p>Alcaraz, the top seed in the tournament and recent winner of the French Open, won his opening match against Francisco Cerundolo, but then was upset 7-6 (3), 6-3 by Jack Draper in what was one of the biggest upsets of the year in the second round. Draper is now into the quarter-finals on Friday and will play fifth seed Tommy Paul, who has wins over Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Alex de Minaur, the second seed in the tournament, lost his opening round match in three sets to Lorenzo Musetti, who is also into the quarter-finals after beating Brandon Nakashima in the second round. Grigor Dimitrov lost his second-round match against Sebastian Korda, which set up a wild and unexpected quarter-final.</p>



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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Quarter-Final Rundown</h2>



<p>Jordan Thompson and Taylor Fritz met early Friday in the first of four quarter-finals with the winner advancing to play the winner of Musetti and wildcard Billy Harris who, along with Draper, is one of two Brits left in the tournament. Harris, 29, is in his first career ATP quarter-final and had just one career victory on the ATP Tour before this week. He also has a wildcard for Wimbledon.</p>



<p>Draper and Tommy Paul play in the third quarter-final on Friday and the winner will advance to the semi-finals to meet the winner of Korda and Aussie qualifier Rinky Hijikata, who has upset wins over Frances Tiafoe and Matteo Arnaldi.&nbsp;</p>



<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Finals Predictions</h2>



<p>This tournament has been littered with upsets, so it wouldn't be surprising if that trend continues into the weekend. The most unlikely outcome would be a final between Harris, the 156th-ranked player in the world, and Hijikata, who earned one of four qualifying spots in the event. However, if <a href="https://bangthebook.com/sportsbooks/betdsi" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">betting</a> the outright markets, Fritz is probably your best bet - assuming he wins his early quarter-final match on Friday.</p>



<p>Fritz was 2-0 in his prior two matches against Thompson and is having one of the best seasons of his career at 26-11. He won his eighth career title at Delray Beach earlier this season and has a very favorable path to the final. This could be an all-American final too as both Paul and Korda are on the other side of the bracket. Paul and Fritz met in the final in Delray Beach earlier this season.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Finals Pick: Fritz def. Paul in three sets</p>



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TENNIS: Preview of Weekend Event: The End of the Cinch Championships