Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24

ESPN will be covering this week six matchup between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Arkansas Razorbacks, set to kick off at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th, at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville. Tennessee is undefeated at 4-0 coming into this game, while Arkansas has a 3-2 record. The Vols are heavily favored at -13.5 points, with the over/under line currently set at 60 points for this SEC showdown.

TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS VS ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Arkansas Razorbacks +13.5

This game will be played at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.

WHY BET THE ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS:

  • We have the Tennessee Volunteers winning this one by a score of 35 to 25
  • Even though we like the Tennessee Volunteers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Arkansas Razorbacks at +13.5
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 60 points

Will The Tennessee Volunteers Win As Road Favorites?

Undefeated at 4-0, Tennessee is ranked 5th in our power rankings heading into Week 6 against Arkansas. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 15.3% shot at winning the Southeastern. Nationally, they have the 4th best odds to make the CFB playoff at 78.2% and a 9.4% chance to win the national title.

Tennessee is 3-0 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +47 points per game. They’ve been favored in three of their four games and have covered the spread each time as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is set at 60 points. Tennessee’s games have averaged 61 points, and their average over/under line has been 59.3 points, with a 2-point average margin against the line.

Tennessee’s offense has been dominant on the ground, ranking 6th nationally with 293.5 rushing yards per game on 48.5 attempts. Dylan Sampson leads the team with 449 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 10 touchdowns. The Volunteers are the top-scoring team in the country, averaging 54 points per game, and they are 15th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6.

Nico Iamaleava has thrown for 892 yards, completing 69.3% of his passes, with 7 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Tennessee is 51st in passing yards per game, averaging 275.8 yards. Dont’e Thornton Jr. has 242 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.

Tennessee’s defense has been impressive this season, ranking second nationally by allowing just 7 points per game. They’ve also given up only 67 rushing yards per game, which is the sixth-lowest in the country. In the passing game, opponents are averaging 125.2 yards, also the sixth-lowest, with a passer rating of 66.

In their recent game against Oklahoma, Tennessee’s defense allowed 15 points and 11 first downs. Oklahoma ran the ball 32 times for 130 yards and threw 15 passes, completing 10 for 161 yards, but Tennessee didn’t allow a passing touchdown.

Are The Arkansas Razorbacks Going Win In At Upset At Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium

Arkansas enters Week 6 against Tennessee with a 3-2 record, ranked 27th in our power rankings. They have a 61.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible but just a 0.1% shot at winning the Southeastern. At home, they are 1-0, and they’ve been favored in only one game this season.

The Razorbacks have a +15.6 average scoring margin and are 2-1 against the spread. They’ve covered both road games (2-0 ATS) but are 0-1 ATS at home. As favorites, they are 0-1 ATS, but they’ve gone 2-0 against the spread as underdogs.

This week’s over/under line is set at 60 points. Arkansas games have averaged 56 points, with their average over/under line at 56.6. They are 1-2 against the over/under, with two games above and two below this week’s line.

Heading into week 6, Arkansas ranks 28th in points scored, averaging 35.8 per game, and they are 38th in our offensive power rankings. Their run game is a strength, with 214 rushing yards per game on 39.8 attempts, ranking 10th nationally in attempts. Ja’Quinden Jackson leads the team with 509 rushing yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry.

Quarterback Taylen Green has thrown for 1,236 yards, but Arkansas is 103rd in passer rating, and Green has five touchdowns and five interceptions. Arkansas is 16th in passing yards, averaging 283 per game. They also rank 5th in third-down conversions, converting 55.4% of their attempts. Andrew Armstrong leads the receivers with 420 yards on 29 catches.

Arkansas’s defense has been solid this season, ranking 38th nationally by allowing just 20.2 points per game. In their recent matchup against Texas A&M, they gave up 21 points, allowing 300 total yards, including 137 rushing yards on 36 attempts and 163 passing yards.

Opponents have averaged 93.6 rushing yards per game on 29.2 attempts against Arkansas, ranking the defense 22nd in the nation. Through the air, they’ve allowed 226.4 passing yards per game, with quarterbacks completing 56.6% of their passes.