Indiana Hoosiers vs Northwestern Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 10/5/24
Coming into this week six matchup, the Indiana Hoosiers are 5-0 on the season, and they are on the road vs. the Northwestern Wildcats. Kick-off is set for 3:30 ET from Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium in Evanston. The game can be seen on BTN. Indiana is the heavy favorite at -13.5 points, and the over/under line is currently at 42.5 points.
INDIANA HOOSIERS VS NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Northwestern Wildcats +13.5
This game will be played at Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium at 3:30 ET on Saturday, October 5th.
WHY BET THE NORTHWESTERN WILDCATS:
- We have the Indiana Hoosiers winning this one by a score of 27 to 20
- Even though we like the Indiana Hoosiers to win, our ATS pick is to take the Northwestern Wildcats at +13.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 42.5 points
Will The Indiana Hoosiers Win As Road Favorites?
Indiana enters Week 6 against Northwestern with a perfect 5-0 record, placing them 16th in our power rankings. They have a 100% chance of being bowl-eligible and a 7.2% chance of winning the Big Ten. The Hoosiers also have the 11th best odds of making the CFB playoff, with a 38.4% chance.
Indiana’s ATS record is 3-1, and they’ve been favored in four of their five games. Their average scoring margin is +35.8 points per game, and they are 3-1 against the spread as the favorite.
The over/under line for this week is 42.5 points, which is lower than any of their previous games. Indiana’s over/under record is 3-1, with an average line of 49.9 points and an average total of 61.8 points per game.
Indiana’s offense has been one of the best in the nation heading into week 6, ranking 2nd in our offensive power rankings and 3rd in scoring with 48.8 points per game. They have been excellent on third downs, converting 57.4% of their attempts, and their rushing attack is averaging 214.4 yards per game on 38.8 attempts.
Kurtis Rourke has thrown for 1,372 yards, completing 73.2% of his passes, and has 11 touchdowns with just two interceptions. Indiana is 11th in passing yards per game. Justice Ellison leads the ground game with 341 yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Elijah Sarratt has 378 receiving yards on 22 catches.
Indiana’s defense has been strong this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 13 points per game. They’ve been especially effective against the run, giving up only 82.4 rushing yards per game, which ranks 13th in the country.
In their last game, Indiana allowed 28 points but held Maryland to 112 rushing yards on 30 attempts. The Hoosiers gave up 289 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.
Are The Northwestern Wildcats Going Win In At Upset At Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium
Northwestern enters Week 6 against Indiana with a 2-2 record, ranked 86th in our power rankings. They have just a 7.8% chance of becoming bowl-eligible this season, according to projections.
The Wildcats are 1-0 at home and 0-1 on the road, with an average scoring margin of +1.5 points per game. They’ve been favored in one game, going 1-0 as the favorite.
Northwestern’s over/under record is 0-2, with their games averaging 33 points. This week’s line is 42.5 points, higher than their average line of 40 points.
Northwestern’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 17.2 points per game, placing them 122nd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 6. Their passing game has been particularly weak, ranking 128th in passer rating, and they are 115th in passing yards per game, with 158.5 yards. They have converted only 27.5% of their third downs.
Quarterback Mike Wright has 354 passing yards and a passer rating of 66, with no touchdowns and one interception. Cam Porter leads the rushing attack with 234 yards and three touchdowns, averaging 5 yards per carry. A.J. Henning has 229 receiving yards and one touchdown.
Northwestern’s defense, ranked 14th nationally, is allowing just 15.8 points per game this season. Despite giving up 24 points in their recent game against Washington, they managed to keep the Huskies out of the end zone on the ground, though they allowed 314 passing yards and two touchdowns.
Opponents are averaging 222.8 passing yards per game against Northwestern, completing 62.5% of their throws. On the ground, Northwestern ranks 11th nationally, giving up just 80 rushing yards per game on 27.8 attempts, the 15th fewest in the country.