Betting on today's Texans and Lancers game? Catch the action at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center in Riverside, CA, as the Lancers hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under goal line for this matchup is currently at 129.5 points, and the Lancers are favored to win at home against the Texans.

TARLETON STATE TEXANS VS CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: California Baptist Lancers -3.5

This game will be played at Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center at 10:00 ET on Thursday, January 11th.

WHY BET THE CALIFORNIA BAPTIST LANCERS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 86-62 in favor of the Lancers.
  • Not only will California Baptist pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 129.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.

Will the Texans Exceed Expectations on the Road?

Through 14 games this season, Tarleton State has been a much better team at home than on the road. The Texans are 4-1 at home compared to just 3-3 on the road, and their average scoring margin is +5.4 at home compared to -6.7 on the road.

Coming off a 78-76 win over UT Arlington, Tarleton State is 10-4 overall and has won two straight games. In Western Athletic Conference play, the Texans are a perfect 3-0, and they have gone 7-4 in non-conference action.

As the underdog this season, Tarleton State has gone 4-2 vs. the spread. On the road, the Texans have an ATS mark of 4-2 and they are 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Tarleton State has an ATS record of 6-4.

Today's over/under line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Tarleton State's games this season (135.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.

Coming off their recent game, the Tarleton State offense tallied 78 points in a matchup against UT Arlington. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.4%, and they made 12 threes. Emmanuel Innocenti was the leading scorer for the Texans, putting up 19 points. In addition, Devon Barnes contributed 18 points.

So far this season, the Tarleton State defense has been performing well, ranking 31st in the country at 64.1 points allowed per contest. In their previous game vs. UT Arlington, the Mavericks finished with a field goal percentage of 47% and a total of 76 points vs. Tarleton State.

Will California Baptist Live Up to Expectations at Home?

California Baptist enters today's game against Tarleton State as the favorite, with a point spread of -3.5. The Lancers have gone 5-3 when favored this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +4.3 points per game.

So far this season, the Lancers have gone 4-3 at home, and their record in the Western Athletic Conference is 1-3. Over their last 10 games at home, California Baptist has gone 7-3.

California Baptist's ATS record this season is 4-9 and they are 2-5 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lancers have gone 4-6 vs. the spread. In their last 3 home games, they are 1-2 ATS.

California Baptist's over/under record for the season sits at 5-8 and today's line of 129.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (137.6). So far, 13 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today's. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 114 points and their over/under record during this stretch is 0-3.

In their most recent game, the California Baptist offense concluded with only 46 points against Seattle. Throughout the game, they made 3/19 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 32.7%. Dominique Daniels Jr. is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today's matchup with an average of 17.7. Meanwhile, Blondeau Tchoukuiegno also brings a PPG average of 10.2 into the game.

Currently, the Lancers' defense holds the 32nd rank in the nation, allowing 64.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, California Baptist's defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 30.4% this season.