Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 4/20/24

At 1:05 from Yankee Stadium in New York, we have an American League matchup between the Rays and Yankees. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Rays are 11-10, while the Yankees have an overall record of 14-6. Nestor Cortes will go for the Yankees, and he is facing off against Zach Eflin for the Rays.
New York comes into this one as the heavy favorite, with money line odds of -137, and the over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs. If you’re looking to watch this game on TV, it is being carried by YES.
NEW YORK YANKEES VS TAMPA BAY RAYS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Yankees Moneyline -137
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 1:05 ET on Saturday, April 20th.
HOW TO BET THE RAYS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Yankees winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rays to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
New York picked up a 5-3 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring five of their seven runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -184 on the money line.
Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just 5 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision, as Dennis Santana got the win out of the bullpen and Clay Holmes got the save. Tyler Alexander only went 5 1/3 innings for the Rays, giving up two hits and no earned runs.
Juan Soto and Richie Palacios each homered for the Yankees, while Isaac Paredes went 2/4 with two RBIs. Harold Ramirez also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for the Rays.
Rays Records & Stats
The Rays are looking to move above .500 today, as they come into the game with an 11-10 record. In the AL East, they are 3.5 games behind the Yankees and in 4th place. So far, they have gone just 2-3 against other teams in the division.
At home, the Rays have been just above average at 7-7, and they are just above .500 on the road at 4-3. Tampa Bay is the favorite today, and they have a record of 10-8 in such games this season.
So far this season, the Rays have been a team that has been tough to predict when it comes to the run line. Overall, they have a run line record of 7-14, with a run line record of 4-10 at home and 3-4 on the road. They have been the favorite in 18 games and the underdog in three, with a run line record of 6-12 as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog. Their average run differential on the season is -0.9 runs per game, with an average run differential of -1.1 runs per game at home and -0.6 runs per game on the road. In their wins, they have an average run differential of +2.5 runs per game, while in their losses, they have an average run differential of -4.7 runs per game.
The Tampa Bay Rays have had a combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-9. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone 5-6 on the season. Their over/under record for the season is 12-9, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 5-6. Their last two games have gone under the total, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs.
Zach Eflin will be taking the mound for the Rays as they take on the Yankees in New York. Eflin has had a bit of an up and down start to the season, as he picked up a win in his first start but took the loss in his last outing. In his most recent start, he went 5 innings and gave up 5 runs on 9 hits. He did strike out 5 batters in that outing.
Looking at the Rays’ player prop projections for today, we have Yandy Díaz with the highest hits projection on the team and Amed Rosario coming in as the 2nd highest. Isaac Paredes is our top choice to hit a home run for the Rays, with his home run projection ranking 7th in the league today. If you’re looking for a Rays player to hit a home run, Jose Siri has the 2nd best odds on the team and 10th best in the league.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees are currently on a two-game winning streak as they are set to take on the Rays today. In the AL East, they lead the Orioles by 1.5 games, with a division record of 4-3. So far, they have been good on the road, putting together a record of 9-4, and they have gone 5-2 at home.
At overall, New York has a record of 14-6. They have won eight of their games as the favorite and are 6-2 as the underdog this season. The Yankees are also in the middle of a series, where they hold a record of 5-1 this season.
When betting the run line, the Yankees have been a better play on the road this season, going 8-5 compared to 3-4 at home. They have a run differential of +0.9 on the road and +1.4 at home, and their average run differential in winning games is +2.8.
So far this season, the Yankees have played in 19 games with over/under lines, and the over/under record is 7-12. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, but today’s line is set at 8.5 runs. In the 10 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the record is 5-5. The combined run average in their games is 8.4 runs.
Nestor Cortes is getting the start for the Yankees at home against the Rays. Cortes has had a solid start to the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Marlins, where he went 8 innings and didn’t allow a run. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Guardians, where he gave up 4 runs in 4 innings.
For the Yankees, we have Aaron Judge as our top projected hitter in terms of home runs, as his home run projection is 4th best in the league today. Giancarlo Stanton is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projection and 5th in the league. Gleyber Torres has the highest hits projection on the team and his overall hits projection is 20th best in the league today.