Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/20/24

This article was published on Apr 20, 2024. Today’s picks MLB picks

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/20/24

At 2:10 PM from Target Field in Minneapolis, we have an AL Central matchup between the Tigers and Twins. Heading into Saturday’s game, the Tigers are 11-9 compared to the Twins at 6-12. Toeing the rubber for the Tigers is Reese Olson, while the Twins are set to go with Bailey Ober.

Minnesota comes into this one as the betting favorite, with money line odds of -136. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSN.

MINNESOTA TWINS VS DETROIT TIGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Minnesota Twins Moneyline -136

This game will be played at Target Field at 2:10 ET on Saturday, April 20th.

HOW TO BET THE TIGERS VS TWINS:

  • We have the Twins winning by a score of 5 to 4
  • However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Tigers to cover
  • As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Detroit rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Twins series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +131 on the money line.

Jack Flaherty started for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Andrew Chafin got the win out of the bullpen, and Jason Foley got the save. Caleb Thielbar took the loss for the Twins out of the bullpen.

Kerry Carpenter went 4/5 with two RBIs, while Wenceel Perez and Spencer Torkelson each had three hits and two RBIs for the Tigers’ offense. Trevor Larnach hit the game’s only home run and drove in three runs for the Twins.

Tigers Records & Stats

Detroit’s overall record currently sits just above .500, at 11-9, as they are on the road today vs. the Twins. In the AL Central, they are 3rd, three games behind the Guardians. So far, they have been good vs. other teams in the division, putting together a record of 6-2.

The Tigers have been good on the road this season, going 7-2 compared to 4-7 at home. Detroit is coming off a series win, taking the final game vs. the Rangers. This year, the Tigers are 6-4 as the favorite and 5-5 as the underdog.

When the Detroit Tigers are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 5-4 this season. Their average run margin in those games is +1.1, and they have covered the run line in two straight games. As the underdog, they have been even better, going 6-4 against the run line.

The Detroit Tigers have been trending towards the over recently, with their last three games all going over the total. Their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 9-10. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-3. Overall, 55.0% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Reese Olson is getting the start for the Tigers on the road against the Twins. He’s had a tough start to the year, as he’s taken the loss in both of his outings. In his last start, he went 6 1/3 innings and gave up just 1 earned run, but took the loss. He finished that game with 8 strikeouts and gave up 6 hits.

For the Tigers, we have Gio Urshela with the highest total hits projection on the team and the 17th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 8th on the team and 19th in the league. Riley Greene is 2nd on the team in total hits and 3rd in terms of home run projection. Kerry Carpenter is 3rd in total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projection. Spencer Torkelson has the highest home run projection on the team and 8th in the league today.

Twins Records & Stats

As the Twins are at home today vs. the Tigers, they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, as they are currently 6-12 this season. In the AL Central, they are in 4th place and trail the Tigers by four games for 3rd place and the Guardians by seven games for the division lead.

So far, Minnesota has been really struggling at home, going 1-5, and they are just above .500 at 5-7 on the road. Coming into today’s game, they are 1-4 in night games.

Minnesota has been a better bet on the run line on the road this season, going 7-5 compared to just 1-5 at home. As the favorite, the Twins are 5-4 vs. the run line, while they are just 3-6 as the underdog. Their average run differential this season is -1.2 runs per game.

The Minnesota Twins have seen their over/under line set at 7.5 runs in just one game this season, and the over hit in that contest. Overall, the Twins have played in 14 games with higher over/under lines, and the over has hit in eight of those games. The Twins have an over/under record of 8-10 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.1 runs per game.

Minnesota’s Bailey Ober is set to make his third start of the season, and he will be facing the Tigers for the second time this year. Ober’s first start of the year was a rough one, as he only went 1 1/3 innings and gave up 8 runs to the Royals. However, he bounced back in his last start, going 6 innings and striking out 7 without allowing a run.

When looking at the Twins’ top hitting projections for today’s game, we see that Alex Kirilloff has the highest total hits projection on the team, as well as the 14th highest in the league. His home run projection is 4th best on the team and 11th best in the league. Ryan Jeffers is our top projected home run hitter for the Twins, and his total hits projection is 4th on the team and 25th in the league. Jose Miranda’s total hits projection is 2nd best on the team and 17th in the league, and his home run projection is 5th on the team and 13th in the league. Edouard Julien has the 3rd best total hits projection on the team and the 2nd best home run projection.