Looking to win big? The Lightning and Wild face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wild are hosting the game at Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul, MN. The Lightning come into this non-conference matchup as the betting favorite. The over/under line currently sits at 6 goals.


The Pick: Minnesota Wild +1.5

This game will be played at Xcel Energy Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, January 4th.


  • In spite of being 1.5 goal underdogs, we anticipate the Wild winning this one 4-3.
  • We like the Wild on the moneyline (+111)
  • The Wild are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Do the Lightning Have a Shot at a Road Win?

Through 39 games, the Lightning have achieved an overall record of 18-16-5. When on the road, Tampa Bay holds a 7-11-2 record, while they are 11-5-3 when playing at home. At the moment, they hold the 4th spot in the Eastern Atlantic division and are ranked 10th in the Eastern conference.

In terms of the puck line, Tampa Bay posted a 18-21 record. On the road they are 7-13 against the puck line, while their overall home performance is 11-8. This season, Tampa Bay's games have an average of 6.7 goals per game. The average over/under number for the season is 6.5. The Lightning come in with an over/under performance of 17-18-4.

Across the Lightning last three road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 3. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 0-3, while going 1-2 straight-up.

When looking at their offense, the Lightning have an average of 3.2 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 10th in the league. Coming into the game, the Lightning have 11-11 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 7-5.

Tampa Bay's current leading scorer is Nikita Kucherov. This season, he has 27 goals, which puts him 2nd in the NHL. In addition to his goal scoring, Kucherov has 36 assists this season.

In terms of defense, the Wild head into the game ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.2 shots per game against Minnesota. So far, they are 19th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Entering the game, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has started 16 games this season. His current record stands at 8-8, and his save percentage is 0.6078431372549019%.

Do the Wild Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

As they head into their game vs. the Lightning, the Wild have a 16-16-4 record thus far. While playing at home, their record stands at 10-6-2, and they have 6-10-2 mark on the road. At the moment, they hold the 7th spot in the Western Central division and are ranked 13th in the Western conference.

Regarding the puck line, Minnesota comes in with a 20-16 record. On the road against the puck line, they are 11-7, while their home record is 9-9. On average, Minnesota's games have finished with 6.3 goals per game. The season's average over/under line stands at 6.3. In total, the Wild come in with an over/under record of 17-16-3.

When looking at their past three home matchups, Minnesota has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.

The Wild come into the game scoring an average of 3 goals per game, putting them 25th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 24th in the league. Looking at how the Wild's offense is performing during power plays, they are 22nd in power play goals and 27th in shorthanded goals.

Minnesota's leading scorer is Joel Eriksson Ek. So far, he has 15 goals which is 39th in the NHL. Eriksson Ek also comes into the game with 10 assists.

Minnesota defense takes on the Lightning ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Minnesota. They alsso are 19th in shutouts, with 2 shutouts.

Goalie Marc-Andre Fleury comes into the game having made 14 starts this season. So far, his record is 6-7 and he has a save percentage of 0.5980392156862745%.