St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 7/5/24
From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Nationals will look to extend their two-game winning streak, as they are facing the Cardinals, who are 45-41. The money line odds have the Nationals at +155, while the Cardinals are favored at -184. The over/under line is currently at 9 runs.
First pitch for this NL matchup is set for 6:45 PM ET. BSMW will be televising this one, and the Cardinals are currently the second favorite in the NL Central. The Nationals are 4th in the NL East, and Patrick Corbin gets the start for them. Sonny Gray is starting for the Cardinals.
WASHINGTON NATIONALS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Washington Nationals Moneyline +155
This game will be played at Nationals Park at 6:45 ET on Friday, July 5th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS NATIONALS:
- We have the Nationals winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Nationals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Cardinals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Cardinals closed out the series with a 3-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -110 on the money line. It was a two-run 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Pirates could only score two runs, both of which came in the 4th.
Andre Pallante put together a good start for the Cardinals, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. St. Louis’s offense was carried by Dylan Carlson, who went 2/3 with a double, run scored, and an RBI.
The Cardinals are on the road today vs. the Nationals, and they are six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. St. Louis is 45-41 overall and has gone 13-12 in divisional matchups this year. The team has an overall series record of 15-11-2, and they closed out their series vs. the Pirates with two straight wins.
So far, the Cardinals have been good at home, going 24-18 compared to 21-23 on the road. As the favorite, the Cardinals are 23-19 this year and an even 22-22 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall record is 6-4 heading into today’s game.
When the Cardinals win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 2.4 runs in their victories. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.5 runs. This has led to a run line record of 44-42 on the season, including a 24-18 mark at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 28-16 against the run line in those games.
St. Louis is on the road against Washington today, with the O/U line set at 9 runs. The Cardinals have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game this season, and their O/U record is 38-45. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-5-1. So far this season, only 8.1% of their games have had O/U lines set at 9 runs or higher.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Sonny Gray to the mound today as he faces the Nationals on the road. Gray has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 9-5 with a 2.98 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gray has a WHIP of .99 and opponents are batting .190 this year. In his last outing, Gray took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Gray’s ERA on the road is 4.89, compared to 2.11 at home.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. This is a result of their below-average team batting average and on-base percentage. One of the team’s biggest issues has been their power numbers, as they are just 19th in home runs and have a collective isolated power mark of .138.
St. Louis will be looking for a bounce-back game from Brendan Donovan, who is batting .267 for the season but has gone just 3/19 in his last seven games. Alec Burleson has also struggled of late, going 6/27 in his last seven games. However, Burleson is 2nd on the team with 13 homers and is batting .283 for the season.
Nationals Records & Stats
Heading into their last game vs. the Mets, the Nationals closed out the series with a 1-0 win. This was especially big, as they were coming off a 5-4 loss in the previous game. Washington was the slight favorite at -106 on the money line. It was Jake Irvin who really picked up the Nationals, going eight innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out eight Mets batters.
Jesse Winker was hot at the plate, going 1/1 with a homer and scoring the Nationals’ only run. Washington’s offense was carried by Riley Adams, who went 2/2 with a run scored.
Washington is 41-46 overall and trails the Phillies by 16 games in the NL East. The Nationals are 4th in the division, just behind the Mets for 3rd place. The Nationals head into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, and they are 3-7 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Nationals are 19-21 this year and 22-25 on the road. As the underdog, the Nationals are 33-39 this year, and they are 8-7 when favored. Washington’s overall series record is 11-15-2.
The Nationals have been a solid run line bet this season, going 50-37 overall. They are 22-18 vs. the run line at home and 28-19 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 43-29 as the underdog this season.
The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the St. Louis Cardinals today. The O/U line for the game is set at 9 runs, which is slightly above the teams’ combined run average of 8.4. The Nationals have played 83 games this season, and 60 of them have had O/U lines set below 9 runs.
Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Cardinals at home. Corbin has made 17 starts this year and has a record of 1-8 with a 5.50 ERA. Looking at his home/road splits, Corbin is 0-3 with a 5.56 ERA at home compared to 1-5 with a 5.51 ERA on the road. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing against the Rays, where he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Corbin finished with the loss in that outing. Before that, he had gone three straight starts without taking the loss.
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game. This is 20th in the league and is the 22nd ranked scoring offense in terms of home runs. As a team, the Nationals are batting just .235, which is 17th in the league. Their team slugging percentage of .364 is also 24th in the MLB.
CJ Abrams has been a bright spot for the Nationals this season, as he is batting .279 with a team-high 13 home runs and 43 RBIs. Over his last five games, Luis Garcia Jr. has gone 5/15 with two homers and five RBIs. Joey Meneses is also tied for the team lead in RBIs but is batting just .231 this season.