St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
At 3:07 PM ET, the Cardinals and Blue Jays face off in an interleague matchup. This one is being played at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Blue Jays are favored on the money line (-134). The Cardinals have a money line odds of +112 and their NL Central rank is 3rd.
Both teams have been playing well lately, as the Cardinals are 74-73 overall, and the Blue Jays are 70-78. Kyle Gibson is starting for the Cardinals, while the Blue Jays are sending Jose Berrios to the mound. On the money line, the Cardinals are 6-1 in their last seven, while the Blue Jays are 5-2.
TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Toronto Blue Jays Moneyline -134
This game will be played at Rogers Centre at 3:07 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS BLUE JAYS:
- We have the Blue Jays winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cardinals to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Toronto picked up a 4-3 win over the Cardinals in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a three-run 4th inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 11th. As for the Cardinals, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -133 on the money line.
Kevin Gausman started for the Blue Jays and went seven innings while giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued two walks. On the other side, Erick Fedde got the start for the Cardinals and went five innings, giving up three runs on six hits.
Alejandro Kirk was the only Blue Jays hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/5 with two RBIs. Thomas Saggese hit the game’s only home run while going 1/5. Masyn Winn had a two-hit game for the Cardinals.
Cardinals Records & Stats
St. Louis is 74-73 overall, and they are 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cardinals trail the Cubs by one game for the second spot in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 23-25 in divisional games. The Cardinals are looking to bounce back after dropping the first game of their series vs. the Blue Jays.
At home, the Cardinals have gone 39-35 this season while posting a 35-38 record on the road. As the underdog, the Cardinals are 39-38 this season, and they are 25-28 as the road underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 24-19-5, and they have won three straight series on the road. This season, they are an even 35-35 as the favorite.
St. Louis has been a solid bet on the run line overall this season, going 73-74. They have been slightly better on the road, where they are 37-36. They have been a much better bet as an underdog, going 50-27 on the run line. Their average run margin in wins is +2.7, while it is -3.6 in losses.
The St. Louis Cardinals are on the road today against the Toronto Blue Jays. The over/under line for the game is set at 8 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.6 runs. The Cardinals’ over/under record for the season is 69-74, and their average over/under line is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 10-15-1. So far this season, 55.8% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, while 26.5% have had lower lines. The under has hit in their last four games.
St. Louis is sending right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays. He has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 8-6 with an ERA of 4.20. Gibson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.33. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings vs. the Mariners. Gibson didn’t allow a run in the outing and gave up three hits and three walks. Looking back further, he has allowed seven earned runs in two of his last four starts. Per nine innings, Gibson is averaging 3.44 walks compared to 8.34 strikeouts.
Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 24th in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. This is also where they are at in terms of home runs, as they have just 151 home runs this season. As a team, they are batting .247, which is 11th in the league. St. Louis has a few hitters with good home run numbers, as Paul Goldschmidt and Alec Burleson are tied for the team lead with 21 homers apiece.
Over his last eight games, Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .267, and he is 8/30 in this stretch. Masyn Winn and Nolan Gorman are 5th and 2nd on the team in RBIs this season, but Gorman is batting just .203 for the season. Winn has also struggled of late, going 5/30 in his last seven games.
Blue Jays Records & Stats
Toronto is 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 16 games for the division lead. Overall, the Blue Jays are 70-78 and have gone just 3-7 over their last ten games. At home, they are 36-37 this year and 34-41 on the road.
So far, the Blue Jays have gone 42-28 as the favorite and 29-21 as the home favorite. They have struggled as the underdog, going 28-50 this year. Toronto has an overall series record of 16-25-6, and they have dropped four straight series.
When it comes to the run line, the Blue Jays have been a much better bet on the road than at home. Toronto is 48-27 vs. the run line on the road, compared to just 27-46 at home. The Jays have been a better bet vs. the run line as an underdog (44-34) than as a favorite (31-39).
The Toronto Blue Jays have been involved in high-scoring games this season, with their average combined run total sitting at 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record is 76-68, and when the line is set at 8 runs, they have gone over 23 times, under 15 times, and pushed twice. Overall, 71 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs or higher, accounting for 48.0% of their games this season.
José Berríos will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he only allowed five hits, issued one walk, and gave up one homer. Looking back further, Berríos has won three straight starts and has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of those outings. For the season, he has a record of 15-9 and an ERA of 3.52. Berríos has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .230 this year. One of his 19 quality starts came in his most recent outing.
Blue Jays 1st baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 28 home runs are 14th in the MLB and the top mark on the Blue Jays. He also comes into the game with a batting average of .320, which is 2nd on the team. Guerrero Jr. has also driven in 95 runs, which is 10th in the league. George Springer has also been a solid run producer for the Blue Jays, with 56 RBIs, but his batting average is just .221.
As a team, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game, and they are just 22nd in the league in home runs. One thing they have done well is avoid strikeouts, as they are 6th in the league in this category. Toronto’s offense has been led of late by Spencer Horwitz, who is 10/19 in his last seven games with three homers.