New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24
From Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, we have the Mets and Phillies facing off in an NL East matchup. The Phillies are 1st in the NL East with a record of 88-59, while the Mets are 2nd in the division at 81-66. New York has won two straight, and the money line odds have them at -111 compared to the Phillies at -108.
First pitch for this one is set for 4:05 PM ET, and the forecast looks good in Philadelphia with temperatures in the high 70s and a clear sky. SNY will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 9 runs. Kolby Allard is starting for the Phillies, and he is facing off against Luis Severino for the Mets.
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline -108
This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, September 14th.
HOW TO BET THE METS VS PHILLIES:
- We have the Phillies winning by a score of 6 to 5
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Phillies to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over
Thanks to a six-run 5th inning for the Mets’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-3 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +134 on the money line.
New York got to Phillies starter Aaron Nola, who gave up six earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work and took the loss. Jose Quintana put together a good outing for the Mets, getting the win after going seven innings and not giving up a run.
Harrison Bader and Francisco Alvarez each homered for the Mets, while Pete Alonso went 2/4 with three RBIs. Brandon Nimmo also had a two-hit game and scored three times for New York’s offense.
Mets Records & Stats
The Mets are 81-66 overall, putting them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. They are 2nd in the NL East and have gone 23-17 in divisional games. New York has won two straight games, and they are 8-2 over their last 10, including winning the first game of this series vs. the Phillies.
At home, the Mets are 40-34 this year, and they have gone 41-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Mets are 53-37 this year, and they are 28-29 as the underdog. The Mets’ overall series record is 25-16-7, and they have won five straight series overall and three straight on the road.
When the Mets are on the road, they have been a solid bet on the run line, going 41-32 this season. They have been especially good on the run line in their last two road games. Overall, their run line record is 74-73, with an average run margin of +0.5 runs per game.
The Mets are on the road against the Phillies today, and the over/under line is set at 9 runs. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 73-69. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-10-4. The over has hit in two straight games for New York.
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. So far this season, he has made 28 starts and has a record of 10-6. Severino’s ERA is 3.74, along with a WHIP of 1.25. In his 28 appearances, he has turned in 12 quality starts and is averaging 7.81 strikeouts per nine innings. One of his complete games this year was a shutout. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on eight hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
As a team, the Mets are 6th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run hitting team and have the 8th best team on-base percentage in the league.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso is 10th in the league with 32 homers, and Lindor is right behind him with 31. Lindor comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 5/14 in his last four games. Over his last five games, Jose Iglesias is hitting .353, but he is still looking for his first home run of the stretch.
Phillies Records & Stats
Philadelphia is hosting the Mets with an overall record of 88-59, and they lead the NL East by seven games. The Phillies dropped the first game of the series vs. the Mets and are 25-18 in divisional games this year. As the favorite, the Phillies are 75-44 this year, and they are 13-15 as the underdog.
This season, the Phillies have been really good at home, going 50-26 compared to 38-33 on the road. Looking at their overall recent play, the Phillies are 7-3 over their last ten games. So far, their overall series record is 26-15-6.
When betting the Phillies on the run line, it’s been a better proposition to do so on the road, where they are 37-34 compared to 34-42 at home. They have an average run margin of +0.8 on the season, and that number jumps to +1.1 at home. They are 56-63 against the run line as the favorite, but 15-13 as the underdog.
The Philadelphia Phillies are playing host to the New York Mets today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is also 9.0 runs per game. Overall, the Phillies’ over/under record for the season is 69-71, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, the Phillies have a record of 5-13-1 in those games. So far this season, 15.6% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9 runs, with 71.4% of their games having lower lines.
Kolby Allard will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Phillies, and he has picked up wins in each of his first two outings. In his last start, he went 5 innings, allowing 2 earned runs on 8 hits and struck out 5. He has given up 3 total runs in 10 innings of work this season.
For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .258, which is the 4th best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Kyle Schwarber has been on a tear of late, going 4/11 in his last four games with two homers. He is currently 7th in the league with 35 homers and is 10th in the league with 95 RBIs. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season for the Phillies, as he is batting .289 and has the 2nd most homers on the team with 26. Harper is also batting .421 in his last five games.