Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Betting Pick & Prediction 9/14/24

From Nationals Park in Washington, DC, the Marlins and Nationals face off in an NL East matchup. First pitch for this one is set for 4:05 PM ET. BSFL is carrying this game on TV, and the Nationals are the favorites on the money line (-146).

The over/under line is currently at 8.5 runs, and today’s pitching matchup features Valente Bellozo for the Marlins and Patrick Corbin for the Nationals. Corbin is 66-81, while the Marlins are 55-93 and 5th in the NL East.

MIAMI MARLINS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline +124

This game will be played at Nationals Park at 4:05 ET on Saturday, September 14th.

HOW TO BET THE MARLINS VS NATIONALS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Marlins to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Despite coming in as the slight underdogs on the road, the Marlins picked up a 4-1 win over the Nationals in the most recent game of this series. Miami’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Nationals didn’t get on the board until scoring their lone run in the 4th.

Edward Cabrera was excellent for the Marlins, going six innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while DJ Herz went five innings and gave up just one run for the Nationals. Herz took the loss.

Luis Garcia Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with an RBI, but it came in a losing effort. Xavier Edwards had a two-hit game for the Marlins and scored their only run.

Marlins Records & Stats

The Marlins are 55-93 overall and trail the Phillies by 33.5 games in the NL East. So far, they are just 17-30 in divisional games. Miami has struggled as the favorite this year, going 4-14, and they are only one game above .500 as the underdog (51-79).

At home, the Marlins are 28-47 compared to 27-46 on the road. Miami will play today’s game vs. the Nationals on the road. The Marlins’ overall series record is 11-26-9, and they are currently tied in this series vs. the Nationals. Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are 4-6 over their last 10.

When betting on the Marlins this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the run line. They are 69-79 on the run line overall and 37-36 on the run line on the road. They are 32-43 on the run line at home and 67-63 on the run line as the underdog. They are just 2-16 on the run line as the favorite.

With a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game, the Miami Marlins have seen their fair share of high-scoring contests this season. Their over/under record is 79-64, and when the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, they are 28-23. Overall, 18.9% of their games have had O/U lines set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly below their season average of 8 runs per game.

Miami is sending Valente Bellozo to the mound today vs. the Nationals, and he comes in with a record of 2-3 and an ERA of 3.57. So far, Bellozo has made 10 starts and two of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Pirates, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had pitched well, not giving up an earned run in two straight outings. Bellozo’s ERA at home is 4.66, compared to 3.69 on the road.

As a team, the Marlins are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 29th in the league. However, they have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.2 runs per contest. Miami is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have a team batting average of just .241.

Jake Burger and Jesús Sánchez have been the Marlins’ top power threats this season, with Burger leading the team with 25 homers and Sánchez right behind him with 17. Burger also has a team-high 61 RBIs and is batting .246. Sánchez is batting .248 and has driven in 59 runs. Over his last nine games, Otto Lopez has gone 12/36 with two homers and six RBIs.

Nationals Records & Stats

With an overall record of 66-81, the Nationals are 4th in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 22 games. So far, they have gone 21-23 in divisional matchups. Washington is at home today, where they are 34-39 this season. They have gone 32-42 on the road.

As the underdog, the Nationals are 53-68 this season, compared to 13-13 as the favorite. Washington’s overall series record is 17-23-6, and they are 5-5 across their last 10 games. The Nationals have scored 674 runs this year, which is 12th in the National League.

When it comes to betting the run line on the Nationals, it’s been a solid play this season, as they are 82-65. They have been a better bet on the road, going 43-31, compared to 39-34 at home. They have been an underdog in most of their games, and in those situations, they have been a great bet, going 70-51. Their average run differential in games they win is +3.3, while in losses, it’s -3.8.

The Washington Nationals are playing at home against the Miami Marlins today with an over/under line of 8.5 runs. The combined run average for the Nationals’ games this season is 9.0 runs per game, and their over/under record is 70-71. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 19-22. So far this season, 58 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 39.5% of their games, while 48 games have had lower lines, making up 32.7% of their games.

Left-hander Patrick Corbin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Marlins at home. He has made 29 starts this season and comes in with a record of 5-13 and an ERA of 5.60. Looking at his overall numbers, Corbin has a WHIP of 1.52 and has issued 2.89 walks per nine innings compared to 7.13 strikeouts. Corbin’s last outing came against the Pirates, where he gave up seven earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has made eight quality starts this year.

Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the majors. They have also struggled in the power department, as their 122 home runs is 26th in the league. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 12th in the league.

CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters this season, but Abrams is hitting just .239 this season and is batting just .217 over his last six games. Garcia Jr. comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .282. Jose Tena has been swinging the bat well of late, going 9/27 over his last seven games.