St. Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 4/28/24

At 1:40 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL matchup between the Cardinals and Mets. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Cardinals are 13-14, and the Mets are 13-13. The over/under line is at 8 runs, and the Mets are the slight favorite on the money line at -123.

Jose Quintana will go for the Mets, and he is facing off against Lance Lynn for the Cardinals. You can watch this game on TV on BSMW.

NEW YORK METS VS ST. LOUIS CARDINALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Mets Moneyline -123

This game will be played at Citi Field at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 28th.

HOW TO BET THE CARDINALS VS METS:

• We have the Mets winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

St. Louis picked up a 7-4 road win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Cardinals had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Mets, they scored their first run in the 5th and added three more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -137 on the money line.

Sonny Gray got the win for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued three walks. As for the Mets, Adrian Houser got the start and took the loss, giving up six earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Paul Goldschmidt, Brendan Donovan, and Nolan Gorman each had two hits and an RBI for the Cardinals’ offense. Pete Alonso hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with two RBIs.

Cardinals Records & Stats

St. Louis will be looking for a win today, as they are just below .500 at 13-14 and trail the Brewers by 4.5 games in the NL Central. The Cardinals have yet to win a game against a division opponent this season, as they are 0-3 so far. Their three-game winning streak has come over the final three games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks and in the first two games of this series vs. the Mets.

At home, the Cardinals are 5-7 this year and have gone 8-7 on the road. As the road favorite, the Cardinals are 3-1 this year and 7-6 overall as the favorite. St. Louis has an even series record of 4-4 heading into today’s game.

St. Louis is 16-11 against the run line this season. They are 7-5 at home and 9-6 on the road. The Cardinals are 6-7 vs. the run line as the favorite and 10-4 as the underdog. They have covered in two straight games and are 2-0 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run margin in wins is +2.5 and -3.9 in losses.

St. Louis Cardinals games have had an average of 8.0 runs scored per game this season, and their over/under record is 10-16. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, the over/under record is 1-2-1. In 51.9% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8 runs, and in 33.3% of their games, the line has been set lower than 8 runs. Their games have gone over the over/under line in 4 of their last 10 games.

Lance Lynn and the Cardinals are on the road to take on the Mets today. Lynn has been solid in his first two starts, picking up a win against the Athletics and then going 5 innings and giving up 3 earned runs in his last start against the Diamondbacks.

For the season, the Cardinals are batting just .221, which is 20th in the league. As a team, they are averaging only 3.6 runs per game, and their home run total of 18 is the worst in the league. St. Louis does have three players with at least four homers, including Willson Contreras, who is batting .289 and has gone deep four times.

Nolan Gorman has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 in his last five games with a home run and four RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt has also been swinging well, going 7/20 in his last five games with a home run and three RBIs. Goldschmidt is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Mets Records & Stats

After taking their series opener vs. the Giants, the Mets dropped the final game of that series. So far this season, the Mets are 13-13 overall and trail the Braves by 5.5 games in the NL East. New York is 2-1 in division games this year.

At home, the Mets are 6-8 this year compared to 7-5 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets have dropped four straight, and they are 1-1 as the home underdog this year. New York’s overall series record is 5-3 this season.

When the Mets win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.4 runs. As a result, they are just 13-13 against the run line this season, with a run line record of 5-9 at home. They have lost their last two games against the run line at home and are just 6-8 against the run line as the favorite.

So far this season, the Mets have played 26 games with over/under lines set at 8 or lower, and 14 games with over/under lines set at 8.5 or higher. The over/under record for Mets games this season is 14-12, and their games have averaged a combined 9.0 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs.

Jose Quintana is making his first start of the season at home for the Mets, and he has had a bit of a mixed bag to start the season. In his first start, he took a loss against the Giants, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 innings. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Pirates, where he went 5 innings and struck out 4.

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 13th in the league, and have the 6th most home runs in the league. New York has been a tough team to strike out, as they have the 3rd fewest strikeouts in the league.

Francisco Lindor has been one of the league’s top power hitters so far, as his 8 homers is 2nd on the team and 7th in the league. However, he is batting just .198 for the season. Lindor has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games with three homers. Pete Alonso is also near the top of the league in homers, as his eight long balls is 3rd in the MLB. He is batting .252 for the season and went 8/34 in his last eight games.