Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Betting Pick & Prediction 4/28/24

At 1:40 PM from loanDepot Park in Miami, we have an NL East matchup between the Nationals and Marlins. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Nationals are 12-14, while the Marlins are just 6-22. Ryan Weathers is starting for the Marlins, and he is facing off against Patrick Corbin for the Nationals.

Looking at the money line odds, the Marlins are at -144 compared to the Nationals at +121. The over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and you can catch this one on BSFL.

MIAMI MARLINS VS WASHINGTON NATIONALS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Marlins Moneyline -144

This game will be played at loanDepot Park at 1:40 ET on Sunday, April 28th.

HOW TO BET THE NATIONALS VS MARLINS:

• We have the Marlins winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Nationals to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

Washington cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Marlins in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their eleven runs. As for the Marlins, they scored their final run in the 5th and were held in check the rest of the game.

Mitchell Parker only went four innings for the Nationals but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Jacob Barnes came out of the bullpen for the win. Edward Cabrera struggled on the mound for the Marlins, giving up five earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Jesse Winker and Trey Lipscomb each had three hits and combined for five RBIs for the Nationals’ offense. Keibert Ruiz also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. Jacob Young scored four times for Washington while going 2/4.

Nationals Records & Stats

Washington is currently 4th in the NL East, and they trail the Braves by 6.5 games. The Nationals are 12-14 overall and have gone 3-2 in divisional games. The Nationals have won the first two games of this series vs. the Marlins.

At home, the Nationals are only 4-8 this year, but they have gone 8-6 on the road. As the road underdog, the Nationals have a record of 7-6 this year, and they have won three straight as the road underdog. Washington’s overall series record is 3-5 this year.

Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 16-10 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, where they are 11-3 against the run line. They are currently on a three-game run line win streak on the road and have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog.

Washington’s over/under record for the season fell to 10-15 after the Nationals and Marlins combined for 15 runs in their last game. The over/under line for this game is set at 8.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the average line of 9 runs for Washington’s games this season. So far, the over/under record for games with lines set at 8.5 runs is 3-6, and the percentage of games with lines set at 8.5 runs is 34.6%.

Patrick Corbin will be making his 5th start of the season for the Nationals, and it will be his 3rd road start. He is still looking for his first win of the season, as he has a loss in each of his first 3 starts. Corbin’s last time out, he took a no-decision at home against the Dodgers, where he struck out 3 in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Washington’s offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game this season, which is 25th in the league. They have been especially bad at home, averaging just 3 runs per contest. As a team, the Nationals are batting .233, and their collective on-base percentage and slugging percentage are both in the bottom half of the league.

CJ Abrams and Jesse Winker have been the team’s top hitters so far this season, with Abrams batting .301 and Winker at .291. Abrams has gone 9/28 in his last seven games, including one homer and two RBIs. Winker has struggled a bit of late, going just 5/28 in his last seven games. Joey Meneses has gone 11/28 in his last seven games but has yet to homer this season.

Marlins Records & Stats

Miami is hosting the Nationals today with an overall record of 6-22, which has them 5th in the NL East. The Marlins are 13.5 games behind the Braves for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other NL East teams, going 1-7 this year.

The Marlins have dropped five straight games, and this losing streak came after dropping the final game of their series vs. the Cubs. This season, the Marlins are 0-9 as the favorite and 0-9 as the favorite at home. Miami has also not won a series yet, coming in with an overall series record of 0-7-1.

When the Miami Marlins are playing at home, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 3-12. Their average run differential at home is -2.7 runs per game. They have lost their last three games at home against the run line and are 0-9 on the run line as the favorite. On the road, they are 6-7 against the run line.

When the Miami Marlins play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs this season, and their over/under record is 14-14. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the record is 8-7. So far, 21.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs.

Ryan Weathers has started the season with a 2-1 record and will be making his first home start of the season for the Marlins. He has been solid in his first three outings, with a win in his last start against the Giants, where he struck out 10 batters. In his first start of the season, he picked up a win against the Yankees, and his only loss came against the Braves, where he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs.

So far this season, the Marlins are averaging just 3.3 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse in terms of getting on base, as their team OBP is just .276. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in terms of home runs and have the worst isolated power rating in the league.

Looking at their top hitters, Luis Arraez has been good for the Marlins this season, batting .301 overall and going 10/24 in his last six games. However, he has yet to hit a home run. Bryan De La Cruz leads the team with five homers but is batting just .252. Jake Burger and Nick Gordon also have three homers this season.